E Bolger

Across a four-year career, Bolger has trained 42 winners in total, which tells you the yard has been building steadily rather than bursting out of the gates. The real acceleration is happening now, and the ground conditions data offers a clue as to where the sharpest edges lie. On normal ground — the kind of surface that suits most horses and most days — Bolger's runners win 3 from every 13 races, a rate of 23%. That is well above the seasonal average and suggests the yard knows how to have its horses ready when conditions are straightforward.

The partnership with jockey Charlie O'Dwyer is the one to watch. Two wins from 17 rides together works out to roughly 1 in every 8 or 9 — not spectacular on the surface, but a combination that has clearly been given time to develop. Regular jockey partnerships tend to improve over time as horse, trainer, and rider build a shared understanding of how to place runners and ride races. The volume of rides together — 17 is a meaningful sample — shows this is an established working relationship, not a casual arrangement.

The pairing with Park That hasn't clicked in the same way, with just 1 win from 9 races together, but again that tells only part of the story. Some horses take longer to find their level, and 9 runs is still a relatively short time to judge a partnership. What the broader picture shows is a trainer who has more than doubled their win rate in a year, is producing results on standard ground, and is 42 winners into what looks increasingly like a career on the rise. In racing, momentum is everything — and right now, E Bolger has it.