His most consistent outlet has been through trainer Padraig Roche, where the pair have combined for 3 wins from 44 rides together — around 1 in every 15, or roughly 7%. That is nearly double Kelly's overall rate this season, which tells you something useful: when the partnership clicks, it works. Roche clearly trusts him, and 44 rides together is a meaningful working relationship, not just an occasional booking.
One area where Kelly genuinely stands out is on wet ground. In slightly soft conditions he has won 3 times from 18 races — that is a 17% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 6. For a rider whose overall numbers are modest right now, that is a striking contrast, and it suggests he has a feel for riding in those conditions that not every jockey develops. On a soft day, with the right horse, he is worth a second look at the racecard. The challenge now is turning that kind of selective excellence into something more consistent across the board as he looks to regain the form that made last season a more productive one.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Punchestown | 19 | 0 | 0% |
| Kilbeggan | 10 | 2 | 20% |
| Navan | 10 | 1 | 10% |
| Limerick | 10 | 0 | 0% |
| Fairyhouse | 10 | 0 | 0% |
| Naas | 9 | 0 | 0% |
| Ballinrobe | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Galway | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Thurles | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Wexford | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Tipperary | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Gowran Park | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Cork | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Sligo | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Clonmel | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Leopardstown | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Listowel | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Down Royal | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Roscommon | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Tramore | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% |