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Zucayan

Zucayan is a nine-year-old who has found his niche at Ludlow, and nowhere else is it even close. He has won all three of his races at that Shropshire track—three wins from ten races there—which makes it the only course where he genuinely looks like a threat. Everywhere else, he is a journeyman: just one win from 25 races away from Ludlow, over a career spanning more than three years. His overall record reads 3 wins and 14 places from 35 races, which works out to winning roughly 1 in every 11 attempts. It is not a record that lights the form book on fire, but for a nine-year-old still racing regularly, it speaks to a horse that has found enough success to keep going.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mother
John Quatz
Owner
Ian Slatter
Official rating
98

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
35
Career races
3
Wins
8.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
14 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Zucayan work is specificity. Give him normal ground conditions and a distance between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, and he becomes a different proposition: three wins from 16 races in that setup, a respectable 19 per cent success rate. Normal ground is his sweet spot; on fast, dry ground or wet, muddy surfaces, he struggles. Jockey Nick Slatter has been his most frequent partner, and when the two team up, things improve fractionally—Slatter has ridden him to three wins from 24 races together, a 12 per cent win rate. Trainer Fergal O'Brien, based at Withington in Gloucestershire, has had a strong season with 90 winners already sent out from the yard.

The concerning detail is that Zucayan has not won in his last six races. His most recent outing was just yesterday, and the run before that he finished second—neither a win nor complete failure. His last victory came at Ludlow on 11 May 2025, now 17 months in the past. At nine years old and with very few wins to his name, he is living on reputation and the occasional course form at Ludlow. For any serious punter, he is a horse to watch only when conditions align perfectly and the race is at his track.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 20 starts (15%)
✔ Course specialist at Ludlow: 3 wins from 10 starts (30%)
✔ Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 19% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Oct
8th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
15 Sep
8th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 16 runners
25 Aug
7th
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
23 Jul
5th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
4 Jun
DNF
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
10 May
2nd
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
3 Dec
2nd
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
23 Oct
10th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 16 runners
4 Oct
9th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
15 Sep
9th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Nick Slatter Current jockey
12.5%
Win rate
3/24
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ludlow
Undulating
10 3 wins, 3 seconds, 2 thirds, 2 other 10 May 30%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
3 3 other 4 Oct 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 3 other 23 Jul 0%
Worcester
Galloping
3 3 other 24 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 23 Jan 0%
hereford 2 1 second, 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Taunton
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 third 25 Mar 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Oct 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 other 16 Apr 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Aug 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Sep 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Apr 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 third 16 Jun 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Aug 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 third 22 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Oct 0%