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Young Churchill

Five years old with a single win to its name from 16 races, Young Churchill is the kind of horse that keeps the yard — sorry, keeps a yard — believing through persistence rather than performance. That one win came at Roscommon in July 2025, and it remains the high point of a career that has produced just 1 victory and 4 placed finishes in total, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 16 races.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Churchill
Mother
Excelling Spirit
Owner
Young Churchill Syndicate
Rating
64

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
1
Wins
6.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The recent form makes for sobering reading: finishing 4th, 7th, 10th, 6th, 7th, and 10th in the last six runs tells a story of a horse that is competitive enough to place occasionally but struggling to land a blow at the finish. That said, Young Churchill did race just yesterday, so there is clearly no shortage of enthusiasm from Richard John O'Brien's yard in Ballingarry, Co Limerick — a team that has sent out 5 winners already this season and will be hoping their charge can add to that tally.

Where Young Churchill shows the most promise is over longer distances. At 1 mile 6 furlongs to 2 miles, the horse has won 1 from 7 races — a win rate of around 14%, or roughly 1 in every 7 races at that trip. That is meaningfully better than its overall record suggests, and it points to a horse that genuinely needs time and distance to get into its rhythm. When O'Brien has the conditions right — a longer race, a track like Roscommon — there is clearly something there worth chasing.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on yielding_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding
Soft (muddy)
Standard (all-weather)
Heavy (very wet)
Good to yielding
Avoids
Yielding to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turning
Loves
Right-handed, undulating
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turning
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Mar
10th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 12 runners
28 Jan
7th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 7 runners
29 Nov
6th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 8 runners
9 Oct
10th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
11 Sep
7th
Clonmel
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding_To_Soft · 12 runners
21 Jul
4th
Ballinrobe
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 8 runners
7 Jul
🏆 Won
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 19 runners
11 May
5th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
26 Jan
7th
Naas
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 19 runners
14 Dec
3rd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 17 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Anna McGuinness
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 29 Nov 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 30 Mar 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 win 7 Jul 100%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 second 23 Sep 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 10 May 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Jan 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 third 24 Aug 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jan 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 9 Oct 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 11 May 0%