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Winter Crown

Winter Crown has been a steady if unspectacular prospect through its racing career, winning 3 of its 31 races—a win rate that rounds out to roughly 1 in every 10 attempts. At six years old, the horse is now well into middle age for a racehorse, and the numbers tell a story of modest ability and inconsistency. Recent form has been particularly testing: it has not won in its last six races, finishing seventh, sixth, eighth, ninth, tenth, and fourth in its most recent outings. Even that fourth-place finish came just a day ago, suggesting the horse is still being campaigned regularly despite a lengthy drought without a victory.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Invincible Spirit
Mother
Berengaria
Owner
Mrs C M Clarke Foulrice Park Racing Ltd
Official rating
60

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
31
Career races
3
Wins
9.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
22.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
28 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

There are, however, a few bright spots in its record. Winter Crown shows real affinity for Newcastle, winning 2 of its 6 races at that track—a 33% win rate that makes it a genuine course specialist. Both of those wins have come on normal ground conditions, which appears to be its preferred surface: it has won 2 of 10 races when the ground is standard, compared to no wins on firmer or softer terrain. Trained by Liam Bailey at Middleham in North Yorkshire, Winter Crown typically competes at Class 4 level, where it has won 2 of 12 races—a 17% win rate that at least exceeds its overall average.

The partnership with jockey Ryan Sexton has been less fruitful, producing just 1 win from 13 races together, well below the horse's typical standard. Winter Crown's last victory came at Newcastle on 1 November 2025, now nearly a year in the past—a gap long enough to raise questions about whether the horse still has the appetite or ability to return to the winner's enclosure.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 10 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Sep
7th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
8 Sep
6th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
4 Jan
8th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
5 Dec
9th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
21 Nov
10th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
8 Nov
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
1 Nov
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
17 Oct
7th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
29 Sep
6th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
12 Sep
7th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
7.7%
Win rate
1/13
Wins / rides
Graham Lee
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
Tom Kiely-Marshall
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
6 2 wins, 4 other 5 Dec 33.3%
Chester
Tight
4 1 second, 3 other 12 Sep 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 21 Sep 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 3 other 4 Jan 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 19 May 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 17 Oct 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 29 Jun 100%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Sep 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 12 Aug 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 second 30 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 13 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Nov 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Jun 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 29 Jul 0%