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Winning Smut

There is something quietly stubborn about a horse that takes 18 races to get where it is going, but Winning Smut seems to be figuring things out just in time. The seven-year-old has won 2 of its 18 career races — roughly 1 in every 9 outings — which sounds modest until you look at what has happened lately. Two of those wins have come in the last six races, and the most recent form line reads 1-2-1, meaning Winning Smut has finished first or second in three of its last four completed outings. That is not a horse drifting through its career — that is a horse hitting form.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Yeats
Mother
Winning Jenny
Owner
Denis J Reddan
Rating
131

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
2
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win arrived at Ballinrobe in May 2025, which opened the account after a long wait. The second came at Galway in August, a track that tends to sort horses out fairly quickly. Galway is a sharp, right-handed circuit where horses either handle the tight bends or they don't — Winning Smut clearly does. Seven places from 18 races also tells you something useful: this is a horse that keeps showing up near the front without quite getting there, which makes those two wins feel earned rather than lucky.

Ground conditions matter here. On normal ground, Winning Smut has won 2 of 7 races — that's just under 1 in 3, a genuinely strong return. Shift the conditions away from that and the results thin out. It is the kind of detail that a trainer watches closely, and Winning Smut's trainer is someone who watches very closely indeed. Gordon Elliott, based at Longwood in County Meath, has sent out 209 winners already this season — a number that puts his yard among the most powerful operations in Irish racing. Having a horse like Winning Smut in a yard of that size means it will be placed carefully, on the right ground, at the right track, when the moment looks right.

With a run just yesterday and that recent purple patch still fresh, Winning Smut heads into whatever comes next in the kind of form that makes a horse worth following. It has taken a while to warm up, but at seven years old and with the wind behind it, the timing might just be perfect.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Killarney in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding
Heavy (very wet)
Good to yielding
Yielding to soft
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
1M6F – 2M
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, tight
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turning
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 21 runners
25 Oct
8th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
2 Aug
🏆 Won
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 22 runners
18 Jul
2nd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
26 May
🏆 Won
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
19 Jul
5th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
22 Jun
4th
Limerick
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
27 May
4th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
13 May
2nd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
26 Apr
7th
Cork
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Josh Williamson(5) Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Killarney
Sharp
5 3 seconds, 1 third, 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 26 May 50%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Apr 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 2 other 22 Jun 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 win 2 Aug 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Mar 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Apr 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 18 Sep 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%