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Western Model

At seven years old and with two wins from 23 races, Western Model is the kind of horse that keeps the yard — sorry, keeps the yard — hopeful rather than triumphant. A 9% win rate means roughly one win in every eleven races, which tells you this isn't a horse that dominates its rivals. But what the raw numbers don't capture is the timing: Western Model just won at Roscommon this week, making it one of the livelier horses in Andrew Kinirons's stable right now.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Westerner
Mother
Scotias Glen
Owner
Espresso Martini Syndicate
Rating
97

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
23
Career races
2
Wins
8.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
39.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Kinirons trains out of Newbridge in Co Kildare and has sent out six winners this season, so Western Model's Roscommon victory is a meaningful contribution to a yard that's ticking along nicely. The horse's most regular partner is jockey Sean O'Keeffe, who has been aboard for ten of Western Model's 23 races and won once together — a rate of roughly one win in every ten rides. That's a modest return, but the partnership has clearly been persevered with, and it was O'Keeffe in the saddle for the first career win at Punchestown back in May 2024.

What makes the current moment genuinely interesting is the recent form. Reading the last six races from most recent backwards — a win, a third, a non-completion, a fifth, a second, a fifth — there's a real uptick happening. After some quiet efforts mid-sequence, Western Model placed second, then finished third, then won outright. That's not a fluke pattern; that's a horse finding form at the right time. With a race just one day ago, there's every reason to think we're watching this horse at something close to its best.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
6 Jul
🏆 Won
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
13 Jun
3rd
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
28 May
DNF
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
13 Nov
5th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
11 Oct
2nd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
5 Aug
5th
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
7 Jun
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
17 May
2nd
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
3 Mar
8th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
12 Jan
6th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Sean O'Keeffe Current Jockey
10%
Win rate
1/10
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Eoin Staples
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Miss Georgie Benson
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Peter Smithers
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Aidan Kelly
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 13 Nov 25%
Wexford
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 thirds 17 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
3 3 other 13 Dec 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 6 Jul 50%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 11 Oct 0%
Tramore
Sharp
2 2 other 26 Nov 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Dec 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 28 May 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 other 12 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Mar 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 third 13 Jun 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Mar 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Aug 0%