The recent form is where things get genuinely interesting. Look at the last six races in reverse order and you see a picture of a horse finding its feet: a win, then a fourth, then an eighth, then back-to-back wins. Three wins from the last six races is a remarkable turnaround, and the trajectory is pointing sharply upward. Horses that find this kind of rhythm at three — still physically developing, still learning the job — can be difficult to stop.
Watchdog's career began with a first win at Newcastle in December 2025, but it is the most recent result that will have the yard at Musley Bank genuinely excited. A victory at Doncaster just last week, with another race run only yesterday, suggests a horse in rude health and full of confidence. Richard and Peter Fahey have had 9 winners from their North Yorkshire base this season, and Watchdog looks like one of their most reliable contributors right now.
One small puzzle worth noting: Watchdog has raced three times at Class 5 — which represents the lower end of the racing ladder — and has yet to win at that level, despite winning elsewhere. That is not necessarily a red flag; the timing of those races, the competition on the day, or the conditions may simply not have suited. What matters more is the bigger picture, which shows a three-year-old horse arriving at something close to its best form just as the season hits its stride.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 26 Jan | 0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 20 Apr | 50% |
| Southwell Galloping |
2 | 1 second, 1 other | 28 Mar | 0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 19 Dec | 100% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 win | 16 May | 100% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 27 May | 0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 4 Aug | 0% |