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Vina Ardanza

There is a fine line between a horse that keeps you hopeful and one that keeps you waiting, and Vina Ardanza has spent the better part of four years on the wrong side of it. The nine-year-old has only ever won one race in a career spanning 20 outings — a short-head verdict at Thurles back in November 2021 — and has not troubled the winner's enclosure since. That is 55 months and counting without a win, and a career win rate of just 5%, or roughly 1 in every 20 races.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Califet
Mother
Go Noble
Owner
Rioja Syndicate
Rating
113

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
1
Wins
5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes that sole victory at Thurles worth remembering is what Gordon Elliott said afterwards. He felt Vina Ardanza had actually run better than the narrow margin suggested, noting the horse was still a little raw and inexperienced that day, and that the performance was probably underselling him. Elliott pointed towards spring and summer as the ideal time for him, specifically flagging that wet, wintry ground was not his friend — which makes it all the more interesting that so much of his subsequent career appears to have been spent chasing form he never quite recaptured. By early 2023, Elliott was still talking about him with genuine belief, suggesting he was better suited to longer distances than two miles and mentioning a competitive near-miss at Naas as evidence the ability was still there.

The problem is that belief and results are two different things. His last six runs have produced nothing better than a fifth-place finish, with a pair of sixth places and an eighth thrown in for good measure. When Davy Russell takes the ride, the picture brightens slightly — together they have won 1 from 5 races, a win rate of 20%, which translates to roughly 1 in every 5 races as a partnership. That is a meaningful number compared to the overall career record, and suggests Russell at least knows how to get something out of him.

At nine years old, Vina Ardanza is not a young horse with time on his side. The talent Elliott spoke about so confidently two years ago has never fully shown itself on a racecourse, and the clock is ticking. He raced just one day ago, so the team clearly still believes there is something to find. Whether they are right is the question that has been hanging over this horse for the best part of five years.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
31 May
DNF
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
29 Jun
DNF
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
2 Jun
6th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
23 May
6th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
26 Dec
5th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
27 May
8th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
17 May
8th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
19 Jun
4th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
14 May
2nd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 8 runners
15 Apr
7th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Davy Russell
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Mr B W Harvey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Aidan Kelly
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Corey McGivern
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kilbeggan
Tight
3 3 other 31 May 0%
Thurles
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 18 Mar 50%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 seconds 12 Nov 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 14 May 0%
Listowel
Sharp
2 2 other 2 Jun 0%
Aintree
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Apr 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 27 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Dec 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 28 Jul 0%