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Victoria Kesia

Victoria Kesia broke through at Limerick on 25 April 2025 after a slow start to racing, but has struggled to reproduce that winning form ever since. The five-year-old has managed just one victory from 23 career races—a win rate of roughly 1 in every 23 outings—and has now gone 16 months without finding the winner's enclosure. Over that span, she has picked up six places finishes, suggesting she runs respectably enough without quite having what it takes to get her head in front when it matters.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Territories
Mother
Kesia
Owner
Up Running Syndicate
Rating
67

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
23
Career races
1
Wins
4.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Her recent form tells the familiar story of a horse at the lower end of the competitive scale. In her last six races, she has posted results of 12th, 7th, 8th, 10th, 3rd, and 8th, with that third-place finish her only brush with the frame. She finds her best form at distances between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs—at those trips, she has won 1 of her 11 races there—but the improvement is marginal. Ridden most often by Gary Carroll, she has delivered just 1 win from 11 races together, a 9% win rate that underlines how difficult it is for this pairing to get across the line.

John Joseph Hanlon's Bagenalstown yard has sent out 11 winners this season, but Victoria Kesia appears to sit well below the level of the trainer's better performers. Still, she remains active and raced just a day ago, which suggests her the yard see enough to keep her in training. For a horse with her record, the goal at this stage is simply to find another winning opportunity and build some momentum. It may take patience, but she has shown once already that victory is possible.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Gowran Park in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Aug
12th
Cork
1m6f – 2m · Yielding · 21 runners
10 Aug
7th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
23 Jul
8th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
6 Jul
10th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 19 runners
14 Jun
3rd
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
30 May
8th
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
4 May
16th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
11 Dec
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
27 Nov
6th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
21 Oct
10th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 24 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
Anna McGuinness
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Adam Leahy(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Gowran Park
Undulating
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 16 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 21 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 25 Apr 50%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 2 other 10 Aug 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Dec 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 7 Oct 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Jul 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Jul 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 27 Nov 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Aug 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 third 14 Jun 0%