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Victoria Kesia

Victoria Kesia has tasted winning just once in 25 races, a breakthrough that came at Limerick on 25 April 2025 — nearly 18 months ago. The five-year-old has shown occasional promise in the interim, collecting seven places, but has struggled to replicate that early success. Over her last six outings, she has finished nowhere near the frame, with results ranging from second to twelfth. At a 4% win rate overall, she sits firmly in the category of honest trier rather than serious contender.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Territories
Mother
Kesia
Owner
Up Running Syndicate
Official rating
82

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
25
Career races
1
Wins
4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.0%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
13 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What does work for Victoria Kesia is distance and jockey. Her trainer, John Joseph Hanlon, whose Bagenalstown yard has already sent out 11 winners this season, seems to have found something in the 1m1f to 1m2f range — the horse has won 1 of 11 races at those trips, a 9% win rate that stands out against her overall form. Gary Carroll, her regular partner, has ridden her 11 times and steered her to that one victory, winning on 9% of their efforts together. Small margins, certainly, but for a horse like Victoria Kesia, consistency in both setup and rider matters.

The pattern is clear: she is a horse who finishes the race, occasionally lands a place, and once in a great while breaks through. She races actively — her last outing was just over a day ago — which suggests the yard still believes there is another win in her. Whether that comes at her favoured distance under Carroll again, or somewhere unexpected, remains to be seen. For now, Victoria Kesia is a persistent, if unspectacular, member of the team.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Gowran Park in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Oct
2nd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
18 Sep
6th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
30 Aug
12th
Cork
1m6f – 2m · Yielding · 21 runners
10 Aug
7th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
23 Jul
8th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
6 Jul
10th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 19 runners
14 Jun
3rd
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
30 May
8th
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
4 May
16th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
11 Dec
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Wins / rides
Anna McGuinness
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Adam Leahy(7)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Gowran Park
Undulating
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 16 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 21 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 25 Apr 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Dec 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 18 Sep 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 2 other 10 Aug 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Aug 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Oct 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Jul 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 27 Nov 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Jul 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 7 Oct 0%