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Victoria Kesia

Five years old and still searching for consistency, Victoria Kesia is the kind of horse that keeps the yard — sorry, keeps her team — coming back for more despite results that demand patience. She has won just 1 race from 18 starts, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 18, and has not tasted victory in her last six outings. On paper, that looks like a tough read. But the detail tells a more interesting story.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Territories
Mother
Kesia
Owner
Up & Running Syndicate

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
1
Wins
5.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That single win came at Limerick on 25 April 2025, and it arrived over a trip of around a mile and a furlong to a mile and two furlongs — the distance range where she has done all of her best work. In fact, across 11 races at those trips, she has won 1 and placed 4 times, meaning she has finished in the first few nearly half the time she lines up over her favoured distance. That is not a horse without ability — that is a horse who knows what she likes.

Gary Carroll has been in the saddle for 11 of her 18 races, winning once together, which works out at roughly 1 in every 11 rides. That is not a spectacular number, but the loyalty between rider and horse suggests the team at John Joseph Hanlon's yard in Bagenalstown, Co Carlow, believe they understand her. Hanlon has been in decent form this season, sending out 11 winners from his yard, so the infrastructure is there for a horse like Victoria Kesia to find her moment.

Her recent form figures — eighth, sixteenth, and a couple of blanks — suggest she is currently in a quiet spell, and her last win is now 13 months in the past. But she raced just one day ago, so she is clearly a horse being kept busy and pointed at opportunities. The team have not given up on her, and given what she showed at Limerick, it is not hard to see why. When the trip is right and the day clicks, she has shown she can get the job done. The question is when that day comes around again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Gowran Park in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 May
8th
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
4 May
16th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
11 Dec
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
27 Nov
6th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
21 Oct
10th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 24 runners
28 Sep
DNF
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 26 runners
16 Sep
12th
Punchestown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
31 Jul
14th
Galway
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 21 runners
25 Apr
🏆 Won
Limerick
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 16 runners
16 Apr
6th
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Anna McGuinness
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Gowran Park
Undulating
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 16 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 21 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 25 Apr 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Dec 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 7 Oct 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 other 30 May 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 27 Nov 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 24 Jun 0%