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Trustyourinstinct

Nine wins from just 21 races is a remarkable return for any racehorse, but what makes Trustyourinstinct genuinely special is the consistency behind that record. This six-year-old, trained by J P O'Brien at Owning Hill in Co Kilkenny, has placed — meaning finished first, second, or third — in 25 of those 21 races, which tells you that even on days when he doesn't win, he is almost never far away. His recent form reads 1-2-1-2-7-6, meaning two wins and two runner-up finishes in his last four completed performances before a couple of below-par outings. In racing, that kind of reliability is rarer than it sounds.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Churchill
Mother
Gussy Goose
Trainer
J P O'Brien
Owner
John P McManus
Rating
109

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
9
Wins
42.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
76.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

O'Brien's yard has been in tremendous shape this season, sending out 160 winners, and Trustyourinstinct is one of their better-performed horses at the stakes level — that is, the higher-grade races where the best horses compete. His trainer has pointed to a Group 3 win at Leopardstown over a mile and a half and a near-miss in a Group 2 in Italy as evidence of his quality, and the assessment from the yard has been consistent: this is a horse who shows up and does his job. "You can set your clock by him," O'Brien said after his most recent win.

That win came at The Curragh just this week, and it was no routine success. He stepped up in class and raced over a shorter distance than he usually prefers, carrying a penalty for his previous win — an extra weight disadvantage given to recent winners — and still found a turn of foot that his trainer described as one of his best performances. It is worth noting that Gowran Park is a particular happy hunting ground: three races there, three wins, a perfect record that suggests something about how he handles that track's demands.

On wet or muddy ground, he is similarly unbeatable on the evidence so far — three races, three wins, a 100% record that tells you he genuinely thrives when conditions get soft. Most often partnered by Declan McDonogh, the pair have won 3 of their 8 races together, but Dylan Browne McMonagle was aboard for this week's Curragh success. He is a horse who is home-bred by his owner JP O'Brien and his wife Noreen — which, as the jockey noted post-race, gives everyone connected with him a little extra reason to smile.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding ground: 3 wins from 3 starts (100%)
Course specialist at The Curragh: 4 wins from 10 starts (40%)
Course specialist at Gowran Park: 3 wins from 3 starts (100%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 75% win rate
Strong overall win rate: wins 43% of races
Effective partnership with Declan McDonogh: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Jul
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
28 Jun
2nd
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
12 Jun
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 5 runners
23 May
2nd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
19 Apr
7th
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 12 runners
19 Oct
6th
Leopardstown
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 10 runners
13 Sep
7th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
28 Jun
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 6 runners
24 May
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
5 May
3rd
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
3/6
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
10 4 wins, 4 seconds, 1 third, 1 other 19 Jul 40%
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 19 Oct 25%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 3 wins 12 Jun 100%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 win 31 May 100%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jan 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 second 11 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Mar 0%