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Trustyourinstinct

Trustyourinstinct is the kind of horse that shows up and does the job. A 6-year-old trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien at Owning Hill in County Kilkerry, he has won 9 of his 22 races—a win rate of roughly 2 in every 5 attempts—and finished in the money in another 16, which tells you he is consistently competitive. He was last seen just a day ago and is still actively racing, which is rare for a horse of his age and experience.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Churchill
Mother
Gussy Goose
Owner
John P Mcmanus
Official rating
113

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
22
Career races
9
Wins
40.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
72.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
35 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes him genuinely special is his near-total domination of soft, muddy ground: he has won all three of his races on that terrain, a perfect record that stands out sharply against his overall form. He also has a clear sweet spot distance-wise, winning 3 of his last 4 races between one mile one furlong and one mile two furlongs. But the most striking stat is Gowran Park: he has won all three races he has contested there, making it his fortress. At The Curragh, another course he clearly relishes, his record is nearly as commanding. Most recently, eight weeks ago on 19 July at The Curragh, he showed real class, winning decisively in a higher-grade race. The trainer noted afterward that he produced a sharp turn of foot off the bend—not the grinding, desperate finish of a horse merely hanging on, but the explosive acceleration of a genuinely talented runner.

His partnership with jockey Declan McDonogh has been productive, with three wins from eight races together, though he has had other riders and continues to perform. O'Brien's yard is firing on all cylinders this season, with 160 winners to date, and Trustyourinstinct remains a key member of that outfit. A soft-ground specialist with a clear preference for races between a mile and a quarter and a mile and a half, he remains a horse in form and capable of delivering at the right track, in the right conditions, at the right distance.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 3 wins from 3 starts (100%)
✔ Course specialist at The Curragh: 4 wins from 11 starts (36%)
✔ Course specialist at Gowran Park: 3 wins from 3 starts (100%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 75% win rate
✔ Strong overall win rate: wins 41% of races
✔ Effective partnership with Declan McDonogh: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Sep
4th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
19 Jul
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
28 Jun
2nd
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
12 Jun
🏆 Won 1%
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 5 runners
23 May
2nd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
19 Apr
7th
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 12 runners
19 Oct
6th
Leopardstown
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 10 runners
13 Sep
7th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
28 Jun
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 6 runners
24 May
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Declan McDonogh Current jockey
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
3/6
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
11 4 wins, 4 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 13 Sep 36.4%
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 19 Oct 25%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 3 wins 12 Jun 100%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 win 31 May 100%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jan 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 second 11 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Mar 0%