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Trustyourinstinct

At six years old, Trustyourinstinct has built one of the more impressive records in Irish racing — 8 wins and 15 places from just 20 races, which means he has finished in the first three an extraordinary 23 times out of 20 starts. Wait, let's put that more simply: he wins 2 in every 5 races and almost never runs a bad one. That kind of consistency is genuinely rare, and it's exactly what his trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien was getting at when he said "you can set your clock by him." O'Brien trains out of Owning Hill in Co Kilkenny — a yard that has sent out 160 winners already this season — and Trustyourinstinct is one of its more reliable performers at the top level.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Churchill
Mother
Gussy Goose
Owner
John P McManus
Rating
109

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
8
Wins
40%
Win rate
avg ~10%
75%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Curragh
About 1.8 miles · Mostly firm ground · 8 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The horse's record on wet or muddy ground is about as good as it gets: 3 wins from 3 races, a perfect 100%. Many horses are inconsistent when the rain comes; this one actually improves. Combine that with a distance of roughly a mile to a mile and a quarter — where he has won 3 from 4 — and you have a horse with a very specific sweet spot. When those conditions line up, his opponents are in trouble.

Nowhere is that clearer than at Gowran Park, a tight, undulating track in Co Kilkenny where Trustyourinstinct has an unblemished record: 3 wins from 3 races. He won there again just two weeks ago, on 12 June 2026. To win every single time you visit a track over a racing career is almost unheard of — it suggests the place genuinely suits how he moves and how he races.

His most regular partner in the saddle has been Declan McDonogh, who has ridden him 8 times and won 3 of them — a win rate of 38%, which is strong at this level. His recent form reads 2-1-2-7-6-7, meaning after a couple of quieter runs he has snapped back into form sharply, finishing second and then winning. O'Brien has mentioned a Group 3 victory at Leopardstown over a mile and a half, and being narrowly beaten in a Group 2 in Italy — which tells you this horse competes in some of the best races in Europe. He raced just yesterday, so there is clearly no shortage of enthusiasm from the yard to keep running him.

A home-bred owned by JP McManus and his wife Noreen, Trustyourinstinct is exactly the kind of horse that makes racing enjoyable to follow: dependable, versatile enough to step up in class, and with a course record at Gowran that borders on the absurd.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding ground: 3 wins from 3 starts (100%)
Course specialist at The Curragh: 3 wins from 9 starts (33%)
Course specialist at Gowran Park: 3 wins from 3 starts (100%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 75% win rate
Strong overall win rate: wins 40% of races
Effective partnership with Declan McDonogh: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Jun
2nd
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 8 runners
12 Jun
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 5 runners
23 May
2nd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
19 Apr
7th
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 12 runners
19 Oct
6th
Leopardstown
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 10 runners
13 Sep
7th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 11 runners
28 Jun
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 6 runners
24 May
🏆 Won
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
5 May
3rd
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 6 runners
23 Mar
3rd
Naas
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft_To_Heavy · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
3/6
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
9 3 wins, 4 seconds, 1 third, 1 other 28 Jun 33.3%
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 19 Oct 25%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 3 wins 12 Jun 100%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 win 31 May 100%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 second 11 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jan 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Mar 0%