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Tripoli Flyer

There's a horse right now who has quietly become one of the most reliable performers in Britain's top races, and his name is Tripoli Flyer. The seven-year-old has won 5 of his 19 races — that's just over 1 in every 4 — but the raw numbers don't tell the full story. What matters is when and where he wins. Two of those five victories have come in Class 1 and Class 2 races, the upper tier of British racing, and his most recent win came at Kempton Park just this week. This is not a horse filling out his career at the lower levels.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Getaway
Mother
Collen Beag
Owner
Ismail El Magdoub
Rating
72

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
19
Career races
5
Wins
26.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
57.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Kempton Park is where Tripoli Flyer seems to genuinely come alive. He has won 2 of his 4 races there, which is the kind of record that makes trainers and jockeys grin when the entry comes up. His biggest win to date came at Kempton in February 2025, when he landed a Class 1 — one of the top races in Britain — and his trainer Fergal O'Brien was unambiguous afterwards about what he'd just seen. O'Brien described him as having "a huge engine" and said jockey Jonathan Burke felt he could be placed anywhere in the race before unleashing a sudden burst of speed at the right moment. That combination — tactical flexibility and a finishing kick — is exactly what you want at the highest level.

The ground matters too. On wet or muddy ground, Tripoli Flyer has won 2 of just 3 races, a 67% record that is extraordinary. On slightly soft ground, he has taken 2 from 5. Put simply, when the ground is anything less than fast and dry, this horse becomes a serious problem for his rivals. O'Brien has noted that he believes the horse goes better turning right-handed, and given that Kempton's track does exactly that, the course record makes complete sense.

Jonathan Burke has ridden him in 9 of his 19 races and won 3 of them — roughly 1 in every 3 — which is an excellent partnership ratio and one that suggests the pair have developed a real understanding. O'Brien's yard, based in Gloucestershire, has sent out 90 winners this season alone, so Tripoli Flyer is thriving in busy, ambitious hands. With a Cheltenham entry still on the table and a trainer openly saying he has "earned his chance," this is a horse whose story is far from finished.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Ok
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Jul
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 7 runners
27 May
3rd
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
2 May
3rd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
8 Apr
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners
13 Mar
8th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 24 runners
20 Feb
7th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 14 runners
17 Jan
2nd
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
26 Dec
5th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
17 Nov
4th
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
21 Oct
DNF
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 4 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
3/9
Won / Rode
Paddy Brennan
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Fern O'Brien
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 2 wins, 1 third, 1 other 2 Jul 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 thirds 2 May 0%
Aintree
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 6 Nov 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 win 21 Jan 100%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 win 27 Nov 100%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 win 2 Feb 100%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Oct 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 other 17 Nov 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Jan 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Mar 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Feb 0%