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Trefor

Trefor is a horse that rewards patience — and right now, the key question is whether six months off has dulled what was, heading into autumn, a genuinely sharp edge. At four years old and with 6 wins from 18 races, this is a horse winning at a rate of 1 in every 3, which puts it firmly in the top tier of its kind. That kind of consistency doesn't happen by accident.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
Invincible Army
Mother
Silk Bow
Owner
Julie Martin & David R Martin & Partner
Rating
98

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
6
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
197 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The recent record tells the most interesting story. Of Trefor's last six races, three have been wins — a remarkable return given the level this horse competes at. Those weren't soft touches either. Both the Ripon win in June and the York win in August 2025 came at Class 2 level, meaning two of the better-quality races you'll find in Britain outside the very top tier. Winning back-to-back races at that standard in the space of two months suggests a horse that hit peak form at exactly the right moment. The flip side of that sequence is a 17th-place finish somewhere in the mix — a reminder that Trefor isn't flawless, and that this form can be streaky.

Then came the break. Trefor hasn't raced in roughly six months, and that gap always raises questions. Some horses return fresh and fire straight away; others need a run or two to find their rhythm. Charles Hills, the Lambourn trainer responsible for Trefor's preparation, has had a productive season — 32 winners so far — so there's no reason to doubt the horse will be well-prepared. But six months is six months, and only the race itself will tell us whether Trefor has come back in the same condition it left.

One other thing worth knowing: Windsor is this horse's happy place. Two wins from five races there, including that first career victory back in August 2023. That's a 40% win rate at a single track — winning 2 in every 5 races at Windsor compared to 1 in 5 across its Class 2 races generally. Horses do develop genuine affinities with certain courses, and Windsor's unique turning, figure-of-eight layout suits certain running styles perfectly. If Trefor lines up there again, that record alone makes it worth paying attention to. The talent is clearly there. The only real unknown now is what six months away has done to it.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Strong overall win rate: wins 33% of races
⚠ What to watch out for
Returning from a 197-day absence

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Good (firm-ish)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Ok

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Sep
17th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
20 Aug
🏆 Won
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 20 runners
11 Aug
2nd
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
4 Jul
3rd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
19 Jun
🏆 Won
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
6 Jun
🏆 Won
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
12 May
4th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
15 Apr
12th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
12 Aug
5th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
27 Jul
13th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Kieran Shoemark Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
5 2 wins, 1 second, 2 other 11 Aug 40%
Newmarket
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 15 Apr 25%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 13 Sep 33.3%
York
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 20 Aug 50%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 win 19 Jun 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Sep 0%