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Tread Softly Now

There's a lot to like about a horse that keeps turning up, keeps placing, and occasionally reminds everyone exactly what it's capable of. Tread Softly Now has won 4 times and placed on 9 other occasions from 22 races — that's a hit rate of roughly 1 in every 5.5 races when you include places, which tells you this is a horse that nearly always gives you something to watch. At seven years old, it's firmly in its prime and, crucially, it's still very much in the thick of things — it raced just yesterday.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Champs Elysees
Mother
Watch Closely Now
Trainer
Owner
Stephen Sinclair & Ian Duncan
Official rating
98

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
22
Career races
4
Wins
18.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
148 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The recent form makes particularly good reading. Over the last six runs, the results read 1-2-4-3-4-2, which is the kind of consistency that gets noticed. Two wins and two second places in six races isn't a horse going through the motions — it's a horse on form. The most recent of those wins came just this week at Cartmel on 23 May 2026, which is as current as it gets.

The Ayr connection is genuinely interesting. Tread Softly Now took its first ever career win there back in January 2025, and has since built a record of 2 wins from 6 races at the track — winning a third of its visits, which is an impressive return at any level. Some horses simply suit a particular circuit, and Ayr appears to bring out something extra in this one. The yard is based at Coylton in Ayrshire, so there's a home advantage element too — Ian Duncan's team know that track well, and it shows.

Speaking of Duncan, his yard has had a productive season with 9 winners sent out, suggesting a stable in good health. The one puzzle in the profile is the relationship with regular jockey Alan Doyle, who has ridden Tread Softly Now 7 times without managing a win together. That's not necessarily damning — plenty of horses win for one rider after multiple near-misses with another — but it's a curiosity worth noting, especially given the horse's overall record shows it clearly knows how to find the winning post.

The horse does its best work on normal ground, winning 2 from 7 in those conditions — roughly 1 in every 3.5 races — and typically competes at Class 4 level, winning 1 from 10 at that grade. Put it all together and you have a tough, consistent competitor that's currently firing on all cylinders.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Perth in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 May
🏆 Won
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
22 Apr
2nd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
7 Mar
4th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
19 Feb
3rd
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
13 Jan
4th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
29 Dec
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
5 Dec
DNF
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
12 Nov
🏆 Won
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 14 runners
21 Oct
2nd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
7 Jun
9th
Hexham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Alan Doyle
0%
Win rate
0/7
Wins / rides
Charlie Maggs
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Ryan Mania Current jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Mr S Connor
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
6 2 wins, 4 other 7 Mar 33.3%
Perth
Galloping
6 2 seconds, 4 other 22 Apr 0%
Kelso
Undulating
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 29 Dec 33.3%
Hexham
Undulating
2 2 other 7 Jun 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 19 Feb 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 win 23 May 100%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 second 23 Mar 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Feb 0%