:

Tosca No Candis

Tosca No Candis broke through at Dundalk two weeks ago in what looks like the start of something rather than a one-off moment. The two-year-old has raced five times now and won once, with a second-place finish to show alongside three fifth-place runs — a record of 1 win and 1 place from 5 races. That's a win rate of 1 in 5, which at this early stage of a young horse's career suggests genuine promise rather than mere luck.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
2 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Honeymead
Owner
Scuderia Scolari Giselle De Aguiar
Rating
92

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
5
Career races
1
Wins
20%
Win rate
avg ~10%
20%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What's encouraging is the pattern of the recent form. After that breakthrough at Dundalk on 15 August, Tosca No Candis came second next time out, then ran fifth three times in a row. That string of fifths might look discouraging on the surface, but it's not uncommon for a young horse to have patchy form as it learns the game. The fact that it won and placed within its first five races means it has already shown it belongs at whatever level it's competing at.

The trainer is Robson De Aguiar's yard at Mullingar in Westmeath, which has sent out 16 winners this season — a decent rate that suggests a yard with some form. Tosca No Candis raced just yesterday, so it's clearly in active work and the the yard are keeping it busy. At two years old, this horse is still in the early chapters of its story. The win at Dundalk proved it can get the job done, and now it's a matter of whether it can do it more often.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
29 Aug
7th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
15 Aug
🏆 Won
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
23 Jul
5th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
4 Jul
5th
Naas
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 8 runners
18 Jun
5th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Jul 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 win 15 Aug 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%