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Top Guy

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that saves its best for the big moments. Top Guy is a 6-year-old with a modest overall record — 2 wins from 11 races, which works out at roughly 1 in every 5 or 6 runs — but dig into the recent form and a very different picture emerges. Over the last six races, the sequence reads 1-2-10-2-1-2: two wins, three seconds, and one blip. That is the profile of a horse right in the middle of a purple patch, and with a race as recently as yesterday, this is very much a horse in the thick of it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Court Cave
Mother
Matt Wood
Owner
Jdj Racing
Rating
108

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
2
Wins
18.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
45.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win came at Aintree back in December 2025, which is a track that carries genuine prestige — it is the home of the Grand National, and winning there, even in a quieter month, is not nothing. The more recent victory came at Newton Abbot just this week in April 2026, and taken together, those two wins at very different venues suggest a horse that can travel and perform rather than one that only suits a single track.

What makes the statistics a little curious is the partnership with Harry Skelton. The jockey has been aboard for all six of those recent runs and has yet to ride Top Guy to a win — 0 from 6 together. That is not a knock on either horse or rider; it simply means that the two wins in that period came with someone else in the saddle. It is the kind of detail a trainer watches closely when deciding who rides next.

The yard behind Top Guy is one of the most productive in Britain right now. Dan Skelton, based in Alcester in Warwickshire, has sent out 185 winners already this season — a number that speaks to genuine firepower and excellent management. Harry Skelton is Dan's brother, which makes the stable very much a family operation, and when a yard is firing at that volume, the horses in their care tend to be well-placed and well-prepared. Top Guy at Class 4 level — one step below the elite tier — has won 1 of 3 races, which is a solid 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3 attempts at that grade. For a horse currently on the crest of a wave, that is an encouraging number.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Good to soft
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Class 3
Class 4
Loves
Class 5
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turning
Loves
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, tight turning
Right-handed, undulating
Right-handed, wide and galloping

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
15 Mar
2nd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
14 Feb
10th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 18 runners
14 Jan
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
6 Dec
🏆 Won
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
14 Nov
2nd
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
5 Oct
12th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 16 runners
19 Sep
5th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
26 Feb
4th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
9 Feb
5th
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
Tristan Durrell Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newton Abbot
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 4 Apr 50%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 win 6 Dec 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Jan 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Feb 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 second 15 Mar 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Oct 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Feb 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Nov 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Jan 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 other 9 Feb 0%