Tommy's Promise

The most striking thing about Tommy's Promise is what happens when the horse arrives at Lingfield Park. Three wins from 10 visits there is a remarkable return — that's winning 30% of the time at a single track, compared to a career average of around 18% everywhere else. Most horses are generalists; Lingfield seems to bring out something extra in this one. The last of those wins came on 17 January 2026, so the form is live and recent, and with a race run just yesterday, Tommy's Promise is clearly in an active, busy spell.

Distance matters too. At a mile and three to a mile and four furlongs — roughly a lap and a half of a standard park — Tommy's Promise has won 4 from 9 races, which is 44%, or nearly 1 in every 2. That is a genuinely impressive conversion rate, and it tells you the horse has found its sweet spot. Put it at the right trip on normal ground, and the numbers become even more compelling: 4 wins from 12 races on a standard surface, again around 1 in 3. Conditions matter for any horse, but they matter more for some than others, and Tommy's Promise is clearly one of those.

Jockey Darragh Keenan has ridden the horse six times and won twice — that's a 33% win rate together, well above the horse's overall average, which suggests the partnership works. Trainer John Ryan, based at Newmarket, has sent out 12 winners this season, so it is a yard in decent form rather than one scrambling for results.

The recent run of form — two wins in the last six races, with a second and a fifth also thrown in — points to a horse that is in a good moment right now. The first career win came at Chelmsford back in December 2025, and since then things have clearly clicked. At Class 6, competing against horses at the lower end of the racing ladder, Tommy's Promise has won 3 from 12 at that level. That is honest, solid work. Not a superstar — but a genuine specialist with a track it loves and a trip it thrives over.