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Tommy McJohn

Tommy McJohn is a 4-year-old who has found winning a rare experience so far — just 1 victory from 20 races, a win rate of 5%, or roughly 1 in every 20 outings. That sole career win came at Naas in September 2024, and with 20 months now passed since that day, the question of when the next one arrives is becoming more pressing. He does show up in the frame with some regularity — five places from those 20 races suggest he is competitive enough to be in the conversation, just not quite able to close the deal.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Lady Mega
Owner
Patrick Sheanon
Rating
55

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
1
Wins
5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His recent form tells a familiar story. Looking at his last six races, the most recent first: 7th, 5th, 3rd, 8th, 11th, 10th. That third place is the one flicker of encouragement in an otherwise frustrating sequence, and he raced just yesterday, so there is no shortage of opportunities being found for him. The team clearly believe there is a race to be won with him somewhere — the challenge is finding it.

Gary Carroll has been the regular jockey, partnering Tommy McJohn in 6 races without managing a win between them. That is not necessarily a damning statistic — a horse with only 1 win from 20 races overall is not going to hand any rider an easy job — but it does mean the partnership is still searching for its moment. The trainer is Adrian Paul Keatley, based at Ryedale in North Yorkshire, and his yard has been in decent form this season with 40 winners sent out. That background gives Tommy McJohn a solid enough platform — the horses around him are winning, even if he has not joined them yet.

At this stage of his career, Tommy McJohn looks like a horse who needs everything to fall just right — the right race, the right conditions, and perhaps a bit of luck running his way. He has shown he can get his head in front, having done it once already, and yesterday's run confirms the team have not given up on finding another opportunity. Whether that moment comes soon is the open question.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 10 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Dundalk in 9 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 May
7th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
5 May
5th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
23 Jan
3rd
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
17 Dec
8th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
28 Nov
11th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 15 runners
22 Oct
10th
Navan
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
20 Oct
15th
Gowran Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 18 runners
10 Sep
DNF
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 24 runners
16 Mar
DNF
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Soft · 15 runners
28 Feb
DNF
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Rory Mulligan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
9 2 thirds, 7 other 23 Jan 0%
Naas
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 12 Oct 33.3%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 10 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Mar 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 20 Oct 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Oct 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 second 19 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 21 May 0%