Tomarlo

The overall career numbers tell a more complicated story. Two wins from 25 races, winning roughly 1 in every 12 or 13 outings, is not the record of a horse that dominates its rivals. But context matters here. Tomarlo's first win came at Dundalk in November 2024, and it has taken until July 2026 to add the second — nearly two years of racing, learning, and placing without quite getting over the line. Eight times in those 25 races Tomarlo has finished in the placings without winning, which speaks to a horse that competes honestly and rarely has a completely empty day.

The ground matters to this horse. Both wins have come on normal conditions, and across 14 races on similar ground, Tomarlo has won 2 of them — a win rate of 14%, or roughly 1 in every 7. That is meaningfully better than the overall career average and worth paying attention to when the forecast comes in.

Luke McAteer has partnered Tomarlo nine times, winning once together — roughly 1 in 9 — and the pair clearly know each other well at this point. Behind the scenes, trainer Ollie Sangster has had a productive season from his Wiltshire yard, sending out 46 winners, which tells you this is an operation that knows how to get horses ready to run their best.

Tomarlo is never going to be the horse that steamrolls the opposition. But a horse that won last week, has run into the frame five times in its last six races, and clearly performs on its favoured ground is a horse that is genuinely in form right now. At four years old, with that momentum behind it, there could easily be more to come.