Tofino
Tofino is a 4-year-old fighting hard to find a breakthrough after a long dry spell. The horse won at The Curragh in August 2024 and has been chasing that success ever since, going 13 months without another victory across 15 subsequent races. It has picked up nine places along the way — plenty of near-misses that suggest the ability is there, just not quite clicking when it counts. With a win rate of just 1 in every 21 races, Tofino is the kind of horse that works best at middle distances between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs, where it has won once from nine attempts (11%), but even at its preferred trip, consistency remains elusive.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Gavin Cromwell's yard at Navan has built a strong season with 96 winners, and Gary Carroll has been Tofino's regular rider, steering it in nine races with one win between them. Carroll's 11% win rate on this horse is above the overall record, suggesting they have found a workable partnership, though recent outings tell a frustrating story. In its last six races, Tofino has managed one placed finish — a second last time out — but has otherwise disappointed. Still just a 4-year-old and active as recently as yesterday, there is time for the horse to turn things around, but the months without a win weigh heavy. Tofino needs to recapture whatever worked at The Curragh and do it soon, or it risks becoming one of those horses that shows promise without delivering.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 10 starts (10%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 11% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
27 Aug
6th
Navan
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
16 Aug
8th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 16 runners
14 Jul
6th
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 15 runners
26 Jun
DNF
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 22 runners
19 Jun
2nd
Limerick
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
15 May
DNF
Leopardstown
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
25 Apr
DNF
Navan
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Yielding · 26 runners
12 Nov
9th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
2 Nov
11th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Heavy · 21 runners
16 Oct
3rd
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Yielding · 27 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| The Curragh Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 1 third, 4 other |
16 Aug |
16.7% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
12 Nov |
0% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
2 |
1 second, 1 third |
1 Oct |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
15 May |
0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
19 Jun |
0% |
| Navan Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
27 Aug |
0% |
| Tipperary Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
2 Jul |
0% |
| Galway Tight |
1 |
1 other |
2 Aug |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Aug |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
14 Jul |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 |
1 third |
21 May |
0% |