The Tunguska Event

The numbers that stand out most are the course figures at Newcastle. Two wins from five races there — a 40% win rate — tells you this horse genuinely thrives at that track. For context, most horses win roughly 1 in every 10 or 15 races across their careers, so winning 2 in 5 at a single venue is the kind of record that makes trainers plan their seasons around a particular course. Newcastle was also where The Tunguska Event opened its account, back in November 2025, which gives it a real history with the place.

The most recent win came at Catterick Bridge just five weeks ago, in late May, and the horse raced again only yesterday — so this is a horse in full flow right now. Two wins from its last six races, with a run of form reading 6-3-1-2-1-4, shows a horse consistently close to the front, even when it doesn't win. That second place and third place sandwiched between two victories suggest it is rarely far off on its worst days.

Conditions matter too. On normal ground — not too wet, not too dry — The Tunguska Event wins 2 from 5, a 40% rate that is well above average. That is a useful pointer for anyone following the horse: when the ground comes up right and the track is Newcastle or somewhere similar, it is a serious contender.

Jason Hart has ridden the horse in half of its races but has partnered it to just 1 win from 6 together, which is roughly 1 in 6 — a slightly modest return given how well the horse itself has run. That is one small tension in an otherwise tidy profile. At the level where it mainly competes, The Tunguska Event wins half its races — 2 from 4 at that grade — which is a dominant record, and suggests the Quinn yard knows exactly where to place it to give it every chance.