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The Tunguska Event

The Tunguska Event is a three-year-old still finding his feet, but he has started to show real promise at the lower levels where he competes. With three wins from fourteen races, he is winning roughly one in every five times out — nothing spectacular, but solid for a young horse still learning the game. What matters more is where those wins are coming from.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Owner
Ross Harmon
Official rating
63

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
74 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Newcastle holds the key to understanding this horse. He has won twice at the track from five visits, a success rate of 40 per cent, which is genuinely impressive for any horse at any track. It suggests he knows the place well and handles it to his favour. His most recent victory came at Catterick Bridge three months ago in May, and his form in the last six races shows real inconsistency — he has been placed in four of them but also failed to score in two — so he is a horse who can run well without always winning.

He thrives on normal ground conditions, winning two of his five races on standard tracks (40 per cent), which is a useful guide for his the yard when race planning. In the lower-class races where he typically runs — Class 6 events — he has a 50 per cent win rate from four attempts, showing he can mix it with horses at his level when everything aligns. His regular jockey, Jason Hart, has ridden him six times with one win between them, which is a modest partnership so far. The horse is trained by John and Sean Quinn at Norton in North Yorkshire, a yard that has sent out forty-four winners already this season, so he is in an active, winning stable. With his last race just a day ago, he remains an active runner, and if he can rediscover the form that brought that Catterick win, he could be ready to strike again soon.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
5 Aug
7th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
22 Jul
4th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
25 Jun
6th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
14 Jun
3rd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
21 May
🏆 Won
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 6 runners
7 Apr
2nd
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
10 Feb
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
22 Jan
4th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
1 Jan
7th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
18 Nov
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Jason Hart Current jockey
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Wins / rides
Jack Nicholls
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
5 2 wins, 3 other 25 Jun 40%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 5 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 win 21 May 100%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 14 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jan 0%