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The Tunguska Event

There are horses that quietly go about their business, and then there are horses that find a track they love and absolutely thrive on it. The Tunguska Event, a three-year-old trained by John and Sean Quinn at their Norton yard in North Yorkshire, falls firmly into the second category. Two wins from four races at Newcastle is a remarkable record — that's winning half of everything it has entered there, at a track where most horses are lucky to win once. For context, across its whole career of nine races, it has won just twice. Strip out the Newcastle results and the picture looks considerably more ordinary. Put it back on that track, though, and something clicks.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Owner
Ross Harmon
Rating
60

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
2
Wins
22.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The overall numbers are solid for a horse this young: two wins and three places from nine races, meaning it has finished in the top three more than half the time. That's a win rate of 22%, or roughly 1 in every 4.5 races — respectable, but the Newcastle numbers tell a sharper story. Its most recent win came there on 10 February 2026, just eight weeks ago, and its first career win was also at Newcastle, back in November 2025. Both victories came on normal ground conditions, where the horse now has a 40% win rate across five attempts — 2 wins from 5. When the ground is right and the track is right, this horse has a habit of delivering.

Recent form reads 2-1-4-7-5-1, most recent first, which shows a horse that has been a little inconsistent — a seventh and a fifth suggest it doesn't always fire — but it has clearly found form again, with a win and a runner-up in its last two outings. It raced just one day ago, so it is very much in the middle of an active season. Jason Hart rides most often, with 1 win from 5 races together, a 20% win rate that mirrors the horse's overall record neatly. The Quinn yard has been in fine fettle this season, sending out 42 winners — so The Tunguska Event is operating in a confident, well-organised setup. The recipe for getting the best out of it seems fairly clear: Newcastle, normal ground, and let it do what it clearly does best.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm
Good (firm-ish)
Good to soft
Soft (muddy)
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Class 4
Class 5
Class 6
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, undulating

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Apr
2nd
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
10 Feb
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
22 Jan
4th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
1 Jan
7th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
18 Nov
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners
7 Nov
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
23 Sep
8th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
6 Sep
12th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 17 runners
15 Aug
11th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Jason Hart Current Jockey
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Nicholls
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
4 2 wins, 2 other 10 Feb 50%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Sep 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jan 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 second 7 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%