The Real Screamer

The overall numbers back up the impression. From 18 races, this horse has won 5 and placed a further 7 times — meaning it has finished in the top three in more than two thirds of its outings. That is a win rate of 28%, which works out to roughly 1 in every 3.5 races. For context, most horses win far less often than that. The career got going at Dundalk in November 2024, and the horse has clearly learned from every run since.

The conditions matter too. On normal ground, The Real Screamer has won all three of its races — a 100% record. Dig into the distances and another pattern emerges: at a mile and three furlongs to a mile and four furlongs, the horse has won 3 of 7 races, a 43% win rate. That is a specific sweet spot, and knowing it exists is genuinely useful. This is a horse that rewards patience — get the trip and the ground right, and you are in business.

Jockey Chris Hayes knows that better than most. He has partnered The Real Screamer five times and won twice, a 40% win rate that comfortably beats the horse's overall average. When a jockey rides a horse that often and wins two in five together, you tend to see them kept together for good reason.

Trainer Paul W Flynn, based in Colehill, County Longford, has had 22 winners this season — a yard clearly in form. The horse raced just yesterday and most recently won at Leopardstown six weeks ago, so we are looking at a horse that is active, fit, and finishing races well. The last six runs read 3-1-1-4-4-4, which means two wins and a second from the most recent three outings. The Real Screamer is not a horse searching for form. It is a horse right in the middle of it.