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The Hare Rail

The Hare Rail is finally living up to his name. After two years of chasing and nearly catching, the four-year-old broke through this week with his first career win at Wolverhampton, ending a frustrating run of 19 races without success. Roger Teal, his trainer at Lambourn, has watched him finish second four times — each one a near-miss that gnawed at everyone in the yard. "I've been dying for him to win for his owners," Teal said months earlier, convinced it was coming. Now it has, and the relief is real.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dark Angel
Mother
Watsdaplan
Trainer
Owner
Mrs Muriel Forward Dr G C Forward
Official rating
70

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
21
Career races
1
Wins
4.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
52.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
9 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes this victory interesting is what it might unlock. The Hare Rail runs best at distances between one mile and a furlong and one mile and two furlongs, and he'd already won 1 of his 8 races at that distance before this week's success — roughly a 12 percent win rate over that ground, which is respectable for a horse of his class. More tellingly, Teal sees him as someone who's been undone not by lack of ability but by his own attitude. "He's a right playboy and he's not as fast as he thinks he is," the trainer observed, suggesting that once he settles down and accepts racing, the wins might come more readily. "I'm sure once he gets his head in front he'll win two or three in a row," Teal added — a prophecy that has a real chance of coming true if the horse has finally learned his lesson.

His recent form is mixed. In his last six races he's finished third, then ninth, placed second, seventh, and fourth before finally winning. He's been active constantly, racing just one day ago, so the yard clearly believes he's a horse worth running. Still, he remains a modest performer. Out of 20 total races, he's managed just the one win and a handful of places elsewhere — the kind of horse who reliably shows up but doesn't often threaten to take the prize. In Class 4 races, his peak level, he's yet to win. But for a horse that's spent nearly two years knocking on the door, one win can feel like a turning point. The playboy has finally learned to focus.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 11% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 Oct
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 10 runners
21 Sep
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
7 Jul
3rd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
14 Jun
9th
Salisbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
7 May
2nd
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
20 Apr
7th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
5 Apr
4th
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
18 Mar
5th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
4 Nov
4th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
23 Sep
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Joe Leavy Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 21 Sep 25%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
4 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 20 Apr 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 9 Oct 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Aug 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 2 seconds 7 Aug 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 2 other 14 Jun 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Jun 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 5 Apr 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 second 7 May 0%