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The Gradual Slope

There's something quietly admirable about a horse that just keeps turning up. The Gradual Slope — and you have to love the name — has lined up 38 times across a career that has produced 4 wins and 10 placed efforts, which works out at just under 1 win in every 10 races.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Shantou
Mother
Caltras Theatre
Owner
Mark McDonagh
Official rating
110

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
38
Career races
4
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
197 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most recent win came at Fairyhouse in April 2026, just two months ago, and The Gradual Slope was back racing again only yesterday. That kind of active campaign at this stage of a career says something about a horse that remains sound, willing, and competitive. The form over the last six runs reads as a couple of blanks, then a tenth, a fourth, and most recently a win — so there is a clear upward swing right now, which is exactly what you want to see heading into the summer.

One thing that stands out is how The Gradual Slope performs on wet or muddy ground. In 11 races under those conditions, the horse has won twice — that is a win rate of 18%, or roughly 1 in every 6 races on soft ground. Compare that to an overall rate of 1 in 10 across all conditions, and it becomes clear that when the rain comes down, this horse is notably more dangerous than the bare record might suggest. Any trainer worth their salt will be keeping a close eye on the forecast.

The partnership with jockey Mark McDonagh is the most established of the horse's career — 23 races together, which is a significant chunk of those 38 outings. They have won twice as a combination, a rate of about 1 in every 12 rides, and the fact that the partnership has been maintained so consistently suggests a real confidence from Sean O'Brien's yard in the way McDonagh understands this horse. O'Brien trains out of Kilworth in County Cork and has a winner on the board already this season, keeping the operation ticking along.

The Gradual Slope will never be a headline act, but a horse that wins at Fairyhouse, keeps racking up placed finishes, and improves visibly on soft ground is exactly the kind of reliable, honest performer that keeps a yard running. And right now, it is in form.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 11 starts (18%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
✔ Excellent record on yielding_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Jun
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 17 runners
17 Mar
4th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 5 runners
2 Mar
10th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 15 runners
8 Feb
DNF
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
28 Dec
DNF
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
20 Dec
3rd
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
6 Dec
DNF
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 9 runners
9 Jun
DNF
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
11 May
5th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 15 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Mark McDonagh Current jockey
8.7%
Win rate
2/23
Wins / rides
Barry Browne
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Calum Hogan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Charlie O'Dwyer
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Aidan Coleman
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
5 1 win, 4 other 7 Jun 20%
Down Royal
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 17 Mar 25%
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 4 other 2 Mar 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 4 Apr 33.3%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 28 Dec 0%
Navan
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 8 Feb 0%
Cork
Galloping
3 3 other 26 Nov 0%
Killarney
Sharp
3 3 other 11 May 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 2 Jun 50%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Mar 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 second 27 Jan 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 third 1 Apr 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 third 15 Feb 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Jun 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 third 20 Dec 0%