:

The Gradual Slope

There are horses that quietly go about their business without ever threatening to headline a festival, and The Gradual Slope is very much one of them. The nine-year-old has built a career across 37 races, winning 4 and placing a further 10 times — that works out to roughly 1 win in every 9 races, with a place of some kind coming almost a third of the time. It is not a record that turns heads, but it tells you something important: this is a horse that keeps showing up and keeps being competitive.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Shantou
Mother
Caltras Theatre
Owner
Mark McDonagh
Rating
105

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
37
Career races
4
Wins
10.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The current run of form is genuinely encouraging. After two blank runs in the middle of the sequence, The Gradual Slope came back with a third-place finish and then followed that with a win at Fairyhouse just this week — so the horse arrives into the profile as hot as it gets, having raced only yesterday. That Fairyhouse win on 04 April 2026 is the latest chapter in a career that started at Kilbeggan back in June 2022, and it suggests that at nine years old, there is still plenty left in the tank.

One thing worth noting is what happens when the ground gets wet and heavy. On soft or muddy ground, The Gradual Slope has won 2 races from just 11 — an 18% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 5 and a half races. That might not sound dramatic, but it is almost double the horse's overall rate, and it tells you that the yard — sorry, that the team — would rather see rain in the forecast than sunshine. Wet ground genuinely suits this horse, and that is a useful edge to have in the Irish climate.

Mark McDonagh is the regular partner in the saddle, having teamed up with The Gradual Slope for 23 of those 37 races. Their record together reads 2 wins from 23 — about 1 in every 11 — which is a touch below the horse's overall average. But the sheer number of times they have been paired suggests a working relationship built on familiarity rather than flash results, and McDonagh clearly knows this horse's rhythms well. A nine-year-old coming off a winner earlier this week, still racing, still placing — The Gradual Slope is a modest horse doing exactly what modest horses do best: proving people wrong by just keeping going.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 11 starts (18%)
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on yielding_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding
Loves
Yielding to soft
Loves
Yielding
Avoids
Soft to heavy
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turning
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turning
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 17 runners
17 Mar
4th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 5 runners
2 Mar
10th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 15 runners
8 Feb
DNF
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 18 runners
28 Dec
DNF
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 17 runners
20 Dec
3rd
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
6 Dec
DNF
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 9 runners
9 Jun
DNF
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
11 May
5th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 15 runners
3 May
8th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 26 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
8.7%
Win rate
2/23
Won / Rode
Barry Browne
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Calum Hogan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Charlie O'Dwyer
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Aidan Coleman
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Down Royal
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 17 Mar 25%
Punchestown
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 3 May 25%
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 4 other 2 Mar 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 4 Apr 33.3%
Killarney
Sharp
3 3 other 11 May 0%
Navan
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 8 Feb 0%
Cork
Galloping
3 3 other 26 Nov 0%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 28 Dec 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
2 1 win, 1 other 2 Jun 50%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Mar 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 third 20 Dec 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 third 1 Apr 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 second 27 Jan 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 third 15 Feb 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Jun 0%