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The Bay Warrior

8-year-old gelding with 6 wins from 57 runs.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
The Gurkha
Mother
Fraulein
Trainer
Owner
Andy Lizzie Cova
Official rating
59

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
57
Career races
6
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
26 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What stands out most is his connection with Rhys Clutterbuck. The jockey has ridden him 16 times and won 3 of those races — a 19% win rate with this horse, which is notably better than his record across all mounts. That kind of partnership matters; it suggests real understanding between rider and horse, and it's worth noting when The Bay Warrior next runs with Clutterbuck in the saddle. He has also found a genuine home at Southwell, where he has won 2 of his 12 races there — a small but meaningful edge that racetracks sometimes offer horses that suit them.

Mark Usher's yard at Upper Lambourn has been sending out winners steadily this season, and The Bay Warrior remains actively racing. His last victory came on 13 September 2025 at Lingfield Park, over a year ago now, and he has not found the winner's enclosure in his last six races — a lean spell that has tested his team's patience. Recent form reads 10-2-7-2-4-3: mixed, with a couple of places to show he is still capable of getting close. At Class 6, his typical level, he wins roughly 1 in every 8 races (3 wins from 24), which is respectable for a horse of his age and experience. He was last out just a day ago, so he is in work and, despite the long gap since his last win, still being asked to prove he has something left to offer.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 10 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Sep
10th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · 14 runners
3 Sep
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 7 runners
28 Jun
7th
Wolverhampton
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 8 runners
13 Jun
2nd
Leicester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners
30 Apr
4th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
21 Apr
3rd
Wolverhampton
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 8 runners
3 Apr
10th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 16 runners
7 Feb
6th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
24 Jan
9th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
17 Dec
9th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
18.8%
Win rate
3/16
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
2/10
Wins / rides
Rose Dawes Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/7
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mr Matyas Luka
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Liam Wright
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Isobel Francis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
George Rooke
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
chelmsford 14 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 8 other 30 Oct 14.3%
Southwell
Galloping
12 2 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 6 other 30 Apr 16.7%
Kempton Park
Galloping
11 1 win, 1 second, 9 other 23 Sep 9.1%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
10 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 6 other 28 Jun 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
6 1 win, 2 seconds, 3 other 3 Sep 16.7%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 second 13 Jun 0%