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The Bay Warrior

There is something quietly admirable about a horse like The Bay Warrior — not flashy, not famous, but still turning up, still competing, and still capable of winning on its day. The eight-year-old has built a career record of 6 wins and 19 places from 51 races, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 8 or 9 races. That is not a spectacular ratio, but over 51 races it tells the story of a horse that has kept going season after season without ever quite breaking through to a higher level.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
The Gurkha
Mother
Fraulein
Trainer
Owner
Andy & Lizzie Cova
Rating
61

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
51
Career races
6
Wins
11.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The Bay Warrior does most of its work at Class 6, which is the entry level of British racing — the place where horses compete for modest prize money and where races are decided by fine margins rather than raw talent. Three of its six career wins have come at this level from 24 races, which is a 12% win rate, or 1 win in every 8 attempts. That is about what you would expect at this grade, and it suggests the horse is placed sensibly by the team at Upper Lambourn. Mark Usher's yard has sent out 14 winners already this season, so this is not a quiet backwater operation — they know what they are doing.

The most reliable partnership in The Bay Warrior's career has been with jockey Rhys Clutterbuck, who has ridden the horse to 3 of its 6 wins from 16 races together. That is a win rate of 19%, or roughly 1 in every 5 rides — noticeably better than the horse's overall average, and the kind of number that suggests the two have found a rhythm together.

The last win came at Lingfield Park on 13 September 2025, about seven months ago now. Since then, the horse has gone six races without a victory, with recent finishes reading 3rd, 5th, 9th, 9th, 6th and 10th from its latest run. That last outing — finishing tenth — is the kind of result that raises a question or two, though the horse raced just one day ago, so the the yard are clearly not concerned enough to give it a break. The Bay Warrior has been around long enough to have off days, and a yard with 14 winners on the board this season is not one that runs horses without reason. Whether another win is around the corner is another matter, but at 51 races and still active, this horse is nothing if not durable.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 8 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Standard to slow
Ok
Good (firm-ish)
Heavy (very wet)
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
1M1F – 1M2F
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4
Avoids
Class 5
Class 6
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turning
Loves
Wide and galloping
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Left-handed, undulating

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
3 Apr
10th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 16 runners
7 Feb
6th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
24 Jan
9th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
17 Dec
9th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
20 Nov
5th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 11 runners
30 Oct
3rd
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 5 runners
27 Sep
6th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 9 runners
13 Sep
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 7 runners
30 Aug
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
13 Aug
12th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
18.8%
Win rate
3/16
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
2/10
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
Rose Dawes Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
George Rooke
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Isobel Francis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Liam Wright
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr Matyas Luka
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
chelmsford 14 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 8 other 30 Oct 14.3%
Southwell
Galloping
11 2 wins, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 5 other 7 Feb 18.2%
Kempton Park
Galloping
10 1 win, 1 second, 8 other 17 Dec 10%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
8 2 seconds, 1 third, 5 other 23 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
5 1 win, 1 second, 3 other 3 Apr 20%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%