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Tarlac

There's a quiet optimism around Tarlac at Katie Scott's yard in the Scottish Borders, and it's the kind of optimism that comes from knowing a horse better than its record suggests. On paper, one win from 20 races — a 5% win rate, roughly 1 in every 20 — doesn't scream excitement. But the story behind that number is more interesting than the number itself.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Pinatubo
Mother
Sharja Queen
Owner
Ursa Major Racing Ltd And Partner
Rating
53

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
1
Wins
5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
10%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Tarlac arrived at Scott's Galashiels base as a castoff from a much bigger operation — previously with top trainer Kevin Ryan and owned by Sheikh Obaid, the kind of ownership group that runs horses at the highest levels of the sport. Horses that pass through those yards and end up elsewhere often carry a reason, and in Tarlac's case it seems he simply needed time and patience. When he first came to Scott's yard, he was, in her words, racing "the wrong way round a little bit" — meaning he hadn't yet figured out how to settle and produce his best when it mattered.

Slowly, though, the picture improved. A placed effort at Hamilton was followed by his first career win at Ripon in late May 2025, which remains his only victory to date. His last six runs — finishing sixth, seventh, sixth, fifth, eighth, and seventh — look flat on the surface, and there's no point pretending otherwise. But Scott is quick to point to his most recent outing at Ayr, where wet, heavy ground was cited as the likely culprit. Some horses simply don't handle soft, sticky conditions, and if Tarlac is genuinely one of them, that last run tells you less than it seems.

What Scott says about him for the rest of the season is the bit worth paying attention to. She describes him as "a really nice horse" and is openly excited about what the autumn months might bring. A yard that has already sent out 17 winners this season — a genuinely productive campaign for a regional trainer — isn't short of confidence, and Scott doesn't sound like someone papering over cracks. Tarlac is four years old, still relatively unexperienced for his age, and reportedly still finding his feet as a racehorse. If the ground dries out and the penny drops, the Ripon win might start to look like the beginning of something rather than an isolated bright spot.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 12 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 May
7th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
15 May
8th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
5 May
5th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
8 Apr
6th
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
21 Mar
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
22 Sep
6th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
11 Sep
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
20 Aug
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
2 Aug
9th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
7 Jul
8th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Alfie Redman(3)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Hamilton Park
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 15 May 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
4 4 other 21 Mar 0%
Ayr
Galloping
3 3 other 5 May 0%
Ripon
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 28 May 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 2 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Mar 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 20 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Aug 0%