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Tai Tam Bay

Tai Tam Bay is a horse that knows exactly what it takes to win, but has spent the last two and a half years struggling to do it again. The five-year-old broke through for its first career success at Naas on 29 April 2024, but has not won since — a drought that now stretches across 30 races and three decades of racing. In that time, it has picked up 11 top-three finishes, showing enough ability to stay competitive at the lower levels, yet never quite putting together the performance needed to get back into the winner's enclosure.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
New Bay
Mother
Perfect Haven
Owner
Dan Kiely Leonard Kinsella Jennifer Coyle
Official rating
56

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
30
Career races
1
Wins
3.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Working most often with jockey Chris Hayes, the pair have managed just one victory from twelve races together, a win rate of 8 percent — not great odds for a partnership, though Hayes was aboard for that sole triumph. Trained by Eddie and Patrick Harty at Curragh, Tai Tam Bay runs from a yard that has sent out 16 winners this season, suggesting the training operation knows how to get horses to the line. The horse performs best at distances between five and six and a half furlongs, though even over its preferred trip it has managed only 1 win from 19 races there.

Recent form offers little encouragement. In its last six outings, Tai Tam Bay has finished seventh, sixteenth, fifth, second, fourth, and third — so while it showed some promise with that second place partway through, it came back down to earth immediately after. The horse is still active, having raced just a day ago, which means the Harty team continue to find races where they feel it has a chance. For a five-year-old with such a meagre win record, racing is becoming a test of persistence — and while Tai Tam Bay keeps turning up to compete, the road back to the winner's circle looks longer than ever.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 5% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at The Curragh in 12 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 16 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Oct
7th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Soft · 23 runners
4 May
16th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners
22 Mar
5th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Soft · 16 runners
15 Mar
2nd
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 12 runners
16 Jan
4th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
28 Nov
3rd
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 15 runners
2 Nov
4th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Heavy · 21 runners
16 Oct
4th
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Yielding · 27 runners
10 Sep
13th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 24 runners
9 Aug
10th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Wins / rides
Jessica O'Gorman Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Alexandra Egan
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
12 1 second, 2 thirds, 9 other 15 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
5 1 win, 2 thirds, 2 other 22 Mar 20%
Dundalk
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 16 Jan 0%
Cork
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 10 Sep 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 21 Oct 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 9 Aug 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 third 29 Aug 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%