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Substance

Substance is a 3-year-old who broke through with a first win at Roscommon back in May, and has been racing regularly ever since without quite finding the same form again. The horse has 1 win and 4 places from 9 career races, which is respectable early progress but shows he is still searching for consistency. Over the distances that suit him best — seven furlongs to a mile — Substance wins roughly 1 in every 6 races, which is better than his overall win rate suggests he can be competitive when the race and ground are right.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Supremacy
Mother
Miranda Frost
Owner
Ursa Major Racing Ltd
Official rating
75

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
9
Career races
1
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
42 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His recent form tells a story of a horse still learning the game. In his last six runs, he has finished 18th, then second, then sixth, third, then a blank, and just 18th again at the most recent outing a day ago. That second-place finish shows he can get competitive, but he has struggled to build on it. It has been four months since his only win at Roscommon, a gap that suggests the yard is still finding the right opportunities for him. Mark Walford's outfit at Sheriff Hutton has been firing this season with 35 winners already, so there is clearly capability and support behind the horse. Substance is raw and inconsistent — the kind of young racehorse who might suddenly click into gear on the right track under the right conditions, but equally one who needs patience and the right race to deliver a second victory. He is worth keeping an eye on as he matures.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 17% win rate

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
6 Sep
18th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 19 runners
22 Aug
2nd
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
14 Aug
6th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
5 Jun
3rd
Fairyhouse
7f – 1m · Good · 7 runners
23 May
DNF
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
11 May
🏆 Won
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
3 May
4th
Sligo
5f – 6½f · Yielding_To_Soft · 9 runners
22 Sep
6th
Listowel
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 9 runners
16 Aug
10th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 23 May 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 win 11 May 100%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 third 5 Jun 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 other 3 May 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Aug 0%