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Substance

Substance is a 3-year-old with one win to his name, which came at Roscommon back in May — a breakthrough victory that remains his only success from eight races so far. He wins roughly 1 in every 8 times out, a modest win rate, but the shape of his recent form suggests he is building something. In his last six outings, he has finished second, then sixth, then third, then sat out a race, then won, and then fourth. That second placing most recently — just a day ago — hints that he remains competitive and capable of finding the frame regularly, even if the victories have dried up since May.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Supremacy
Mother
Miranda Frost
Owner
Ursa Major Racing Ltd
Rating
75

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
8
Career races
1
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What stands out is his clear preference for middle distances. Over 7 furlongs to a mile, he has won 1 of his 5 races, a 20 percent win rate that is nearly double his overall average. This is the kind of pattern that gives a trainer something to work with. Mark Walford's yard at Sheriff Hutton in North Yorkshire has been productive this season, sending out 35 winners, and Substance appears to be one of the yard's steady operators rather than a star in the making. At three years old, he still has time to put together a winning streak, but for now he remains a horse that shows up, runs respectably, and occasionally gets his head in front — exactly the kind of honest performer that forms the backbone of racing at this level.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 20% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
22 Aug
2nd
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
14 Aug
6th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
5 Jun
3rd
Fairyhouse
7f – 1m · Good · 7 runners
23 May
DNF
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
11 May
🏆 Won
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
3 May
4th
Sligo
5f – 6½f · Yielding_To_Soft · 9 runners
22 Sep
6th
Listowel
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 9 runners
16 Aug
10th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 23 May 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 win 11 May 100%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 other 3 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Aug 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Aug 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 third 5 Jun 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%