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Spinola Bay

Spinola Bay is a six-year-old with a solid streak of form that suggests the horse has found its rhythm. The last six races tell the story: a win, another win, then a third-place finish, followed by a sixth, a seventh, and most recently a fourth. That's 2 wins from 6 races over that stretch, which is a respectable 33 percent win rate — well above the horse's career average of roughly 1 win in every 5 races.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dragon Dancer
Mother
Earth Lady
Owner
David Lestrange

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
11
Career races
2
Wins
18.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
49 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The timing of those wins matters. The horse broke through for its first career victory at Navan on 14 December 2025, then backed that up eight days later with another win at Leopardstown on Boxing Day. That kind of double strike suggests the horse had found something, had clicked into a gear that works. Since then, however, there has been silence — eight months without another win, though the recent run of form shows Spinola Bay is still competitive and still racing regularly. The horse was out just a day ago, which confirms it remains an active, working member of Gordon Elliott's yard at Longwood in County Meath. Elliott's operation sent out 210 winners this season, so Spinola Bay is part of a serious, high-volume training setup.

What makes Spinola Bay interesting is not a dominant record but the shape of it. The horse is not spectacular, but it turns up race after race, occasionally gets the job done, and seems to have found a level where it can compete. That recent win-rate of one in three suggests there is more to come if the form holds.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
31 Aug
4th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
21 Jul
7th
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
20 Jan
6th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
3 Jan
3rd
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 8 runners
26 Dec
🏆 Won
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 18 runners
14 Dec
🏆 Won
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
19 Oct
3rd
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 21 runners
10 Oct
5th
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 13 runners
30 Sep
7th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Yielding · 19 runners
12 May
4th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Dec 100%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 win 14 Dec 100%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 third 19 Oct 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Jan 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Jan 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Mar 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 12 May 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 other 31 Aug 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 other 10 Oct 0%