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Sober

There is a horse in Willie Mullins's yard that has won half of every race it has ever entered, beat some of the best in Britain at one of the sport's most famous venues, and has a trainer quietly dreaming about Melbourne. Sober is seven years old and, on the evidence so far, still figuring out how good it might become.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Camelot
Mother
Burma Sea
Owner
Oti Racing & The Why Knot Partnership

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
6
Career races
3
Wins
50%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
228 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The career numbers are straightforward but striking: 3 wins and 3 places from just 6 races, a win rate of exactly 50% — that means it has won 1 in every 2 races it has ever run. Most racehorses, even good ones, win somewhere between 1 in 5 and 1 in 10. Sober wins one in two. The first of those victories came at Killarney in May 2025, but it was what followed that really raised eyebrows. On 21 June 2025, Sober went to Ascot — one of the top tracks in Britain — and won a Class 2 race, which sits among the highest levels of competition in the country. It was the kind of performance that makes people sit up, and Mullins admitted afterwards that Sober had "surprised" him, improving far more than he had expected.

The most recent win came at Punchestown in January 2026, and the description from Mullins afterward painted a vivid picture of what this horse can do. It was a tactical, scrappy affair — chess on horseback — but when it mattered, Sober quickened up sharply and found another gear. There was a moment at the last obstacle where it had a brief look and hesitated, but it sorted itself out and got the job done. That willingness to pull through when it counts is exactly the kind of thing trainers prize. Mullins noted that Sober seemed to enjoy the whole thing more this time, travelling smoother and sweeter throughout.

What makes this genuinely fascinating is where the team might be headed. Willie Mullins — who has sent out 230 winners already this season from his base in County Carlow, making him one of the most prolific yards in the sport — has spoken openly about the Melbourne Cup as a long-term target for Sober. The Melbourne Cup is one of the most famous horse races in the world. There are qualifications to earn and hurdles to clear, but the fact that a trainer of Mullins's standing is even saying the words out loud tells you something about how highly he rates this horse. Last raced 28 days ago, Sober is active, improving, and apparently only getting started.

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Mar
16th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
11 Jan
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 4 runners
4 Jan
DNF
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · 29 runners
21 Jun
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
12 May
🏆 Won
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 5 runners
30 Mar
9th
meydan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
100%
Win rate
2/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 21 Jun 100%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 win 11 Jan 100%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 win 12 May 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jan 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Mar 0%
meydan 1 1 other 30 Mar 0%