Sir William

That single win came at Windsor on 4th August 2025, a result that must have felt like a long time coming and, with ten months now passed since, already feels like a distant memory. His recent form reads 5-2-10-5-5-4, which tells the story of a horse who gets close occasionally — that second place stands out — but cannot quite convert. He has not won in his last six races.

The distance range of a mile and three furlongs to a mile and four furlongs looks like his sweet spot, and the numbers offer a cautious reason for optimism there: 1 win from 8 races at those trips works out at around 1 in every 8, which is meaningfully better than his overall record. A longer trip seems to give him room to travel into a race, even if the finishing kick remains the question.

His most regular partner is Tom Marquand, and together they have won 1 from 7 races — roughly 1 in 7 — which is actually a touch above Sir William's general average and suggests the combination is worth watching. He is trained by Charlie Johnston at Middleham Moor in North Yorkshire, and it is worth noting that Johnston's yard has sent out 128 winners already this season, making it one of the most productive operations in the country. Having that kind of firepower behind you matters — horses from busy, well-resourced yards tend to be placed in races where they have a realistic chance rather than simply filling fields. The puzzle with Sir William is that he has raced ten times at Class 4 level — the bread-and-butter tier of British racing — without winning once. For a horse trained in such a successful yard, that record invites questions about whether a change of approach or a drop in class might finally unlock what that Windsor win hinted was there.