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Simulation Theory

5-year-old gelding with 2 wins from 18 runs who runs best on slightly soft ground over 7f – 1m.
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Barawin
Owner
Mrs Sarah Bryan
Official rating
61

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
18
Career races
2
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1200 days
Since last race

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Returning from a 973-day absence

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Jul
10th
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
7 Jul
12th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
16 May
8th
Beverley
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
29 Apr
3rd
Leicester
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 10 runners
1 Apr
DNF
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 11 runners
1 Oct
4th
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
13 Sep
3rd
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
7 Sep
🏆 Won
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
22 Aug
5th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
17 Jul
🏆 Won
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 3 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Harrison Shaw Current jockey
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
Zak Wheatley
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Redcar
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 1 Oct 33.3%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 3 other 16 Feb 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Jul 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 win 7 Sep 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jan 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 26 Nov 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 third 29 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%