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Shoot To Kill

Nine years old and still racing competitively, Shoot To Kill has built a solid if occasionally maddening career over 63 races, picking up 9 wins and placing a further 29 times. That works out to winning roughly 1 in every 7 races — not spectacular on paper, but the full picture is more interesting than the headline number.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Nancy Astor
Owner
We Never Cash Out Syndicate
Rating
70

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
63
Career races
9
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His trainer Noel C Kelly, based at Draperstown in County Derry, puts it bluntly: this is a horse who works brilliantly at home but doesn't always bother to show up on raceday. Kelly describes him as a "slightly frustrating customer" — the kind of horse that makes you tear your hair out one week and punch the air the next. It's a familiar type in racing, talented but inconsistent, and the art is finding the right conditions to coax out the best of him. Kelly has identified fast, dry summer ground over six furlongs as the sweet spot, and the yard — which has sent out 14 winners already this season — clearly still believes in him.

The most fruitful partnership in Shoot To Kill's career has been with jockey Darragh Keenan, who has ridden him to 4 wins from 11 races together — that's a win rate of 36%, or roughly 2 in every 5 rides. That is a remarkable number. For context, most jockey-horse combinations at this level would be doing well to win 1 in 10. Keenan has also noted that the horse tends to idle when he hits the front, which suggests there may genuinely be more in the tank than he lets on. A horse that wins while not fully trying is an intriguing thing.

His best level has been in Class 4 races — the solid, competitive middle tier of the sport — where he has won 3 from 11, again at around 27%, or better than 1 in 4. He last won at Gowran Park in August 2025, and while he hasn't won in his last six outings, his recent form still shows a couple of placed efforts mixed in. He raced just one day ago, so the campaign is very much ongoing. For a nine-year-old who has now earned his place in 63 races, Shoot To Kill remains an active, competitive presence — and by his trainer's own account, a horse who can still surprise you when everything clicks.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Course specialist at Lingfield Park: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
Effective partnership with Darragh Keenan: 36% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Leopardstown in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Jul
3rd
Fairyhouse
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
11 Jun
DNF
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
29 May
2nd
Down Royal
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
11 May
3rd
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
28 Mar
13th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 14 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 19 runners
31 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
17 Oct
4th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
4 Oct
4th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
4 Sep
7th
Laytown
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
36.4%
Win rate
4/11
Won / Rode
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Hugh Horgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
16 2 wins, 2 seconds, 4 thirds, 8 other 27 Feb 12.5%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
11 3 wins, 2 thirds, 6 other 29 Mar 27.3%
Leopardstown
Galloping
5 1 second, 4 other 11 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 7 Jan 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 May 33.3%
Chepstow
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 29 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
2 2 other 14 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Mar 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 seconds 16 Jul 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 win 9 Aug 100%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 win 13 Aug 100%
Laytown
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Sep 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 third 8 Jul 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Apr 0%