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Shoot To Kill

Shoot To Kill is a horse that works beautifully at home but has a maddening habit of leaving his best form in the yard. The nine-year-old has won 9 of his 65 races (a 14% win rate) and placed in 29 more, which tells you he is genuinely useful — but also that something keeps holding him back from winning consistently. His last victory came at Gowran Park in August 2025, a full year ago, and in his last six races he has not found the winner's enclosure once, though he did manage two third-place finishes. Trainer Noel C Kelly, based in Draperstown, describes him frankly: a very good worker at home but frustratingly inconsistent on the track, with a talent for throwing away good fortune just when he seems about to break through.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Nancy Astor
Owner
We Never Cash Out Syndicate
Official rating
74

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
65
Career races
9
Wins
13.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
58 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What makes Shoot To Kill worth watching is his record in Class 4 races — he has won 3 of 11 at that level, a 27% win rate that proves he can compete when the racing is pitched right. The partnership with jockey Darragh Keenan has been particularly strong: they have won together 4 times from 11 races, a 36% win rate that is far above the horse's career average. Kelly's recent comments suggest the yard is trying to steer him towards 6-furlong races on fast, dry ground, where Keenan's partnership with the horse has worked best. The horse was last seen just a day ago and remains active, so there is still time for him to add to his tally — but at nine years old, with a year since his last win, the window may be starting to close for Shoot To Kill to become a consistent winner rather than simply a capable horse who wins now and again.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Course specialist at Lingfield Park: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
✔ Effective partnership with Darragh Keenan: 36% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Leopardstown in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Good (a little give)
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Aug
9th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
28 Jul
6th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 18 runners
8 Jul
3rd
Fairyhouse
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
11 Jun
DNF
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
29 May
2nd
Down Royal
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
11 May
3rd
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
28 Mar
13th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 14 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 19 runners
31 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
17 Oct
4th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
36.4%
Win rate
4/11
Wins / rides
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Wins / rides
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Hugh Horgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Rory Mulligan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
16 2 wins, 2 seconds, 4 thirds, 8 other 27 Feb 12.5%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
11 3 wins, 2 thirds, 6 other 29 Mar 27.3%
Leopardstown
Galloping
5 1 second, 4 other 11 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 7 Jan 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 May 33.3%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 29 May 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 28 Jul 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Mar 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 seconds 16 Jul 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
2 2 other 14 Sep 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 win 13 Aug 100%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 win 9 Aug 100%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 third 8 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Laytown
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Sep 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%