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Shoot To Kill

Shoot To Kill is a horse that works beautifully at home but has a maddening habit of leaving his best form in the yard. The nine-year-old has won 9 of his 65 races (a 14% win rate) and placed in 29 more, which tells you he is genuinely useful — but also that something keeps holding him back from winning consistently. His last victory came at Gowran Park in August 2025, a full year ago, and in his last six races he has not found the winner's enclosure once, though he did manage two third-place finishes. Trainer Noel C Kelly, based in Draperstown, describes him frankly: a very good worker at home but frustratingly inconsistent on the track, with a talent for throwing away good fortune just when he seems about to break through.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Nancy Astor
Owner
We Never Cash Out Syndicate
Rating
74

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
65
Career races
9
Wins
13.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes Shoot To Kill worth watching is his record in Class 4 races — he has won 3 of 11 at that level, a 27% win rate that proves he can compete when the racing is pitched right. The partnership with jockey Darragh Keenan has been particularly strong: they have won together 4 times from 11 races, a 36% win rate that is far above the horse's career average. Kelly's recent comments suggest the yard is trying to steer him towards 6-furlong races on fast, dry ground, where Keenan's partnership with the horse has worked best. The horse was last seen just a day ago and remains active, so there is still time for him to add to his tally — but at nine years old, with a year since his last win, the window may be starting to close for Shoot To Kill to become a consistent winner rather than simply a capable horse who wins now and again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Course specialist at Lingfield Park: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
Effective partnership with Darragh Keenan: 36% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Leopardstown in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Aug
9th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
28 Jul
6th
Galway
7f – 1m · Yielding · 18 runners
8 Jul
3rd
Fairyhouse
7f – 1m · Good · 15 runners
11 Jun
DNF
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
29 May
2nd
Down Royal
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
11 May
3rd
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
28 Mar
13th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 14 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 19 runners
31 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
17 Oct
4th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
36.4%
Win rate
4/11
Won / Rode
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Hugh Horgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rory Mulligan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
16 2 wins, 2 seconds, 4 thirds, 8 other 27 Feb 12.5%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
11 3 wins, 2 thirds, 6 other 29 Mar 27.3%
Leopardstown
Galloping
5 1 second, 4 other 11 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 7 Jan 25%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 May 33.3%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 29 May 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 28 Jul 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Mar 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 seconds 16 Jul 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
2 2 other 14 Sep 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 win 13 Aug 100%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 win 9 Aug 100%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 third 8 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Laytown
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Sep 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%