Sedgemoor

Across 26 career races in total, Sedgemoor has won 3 times and finished in the places on 5 other occasions — a win rate of around 1 in every 8 or 9 races, which is modest on paper but tells only part of the story. The recent form reads 9th, 15th, 3rd, 10th, and a win before that, so the last few runs have been inconsistent at best. A 15th-place finish suggests at least one day where things went badly wrong. But that Newcastle win in March is a reminder that when conditions suit, this horse can still deliver.

The distance that brings out the best in Sedgemoor is the sharp, sprinting range of five to six-and-a-half furlongs, where it has won 2 of 7 races — roughly 1 in every 3 or 4, which is a meaningfully better return than its overall record. Short, fast races over a track it knows well seem to be the formula. Trainer John Ryan operates out of Newmarket and has sent out 11 winners already this season, so the yard is in decent form.

When Connor Planas has been in the saddle, the results have been noticeably better — 2 wins from 6 races together works out to winning roughly 1 in every 3 rides, well above Sedgemoor's career average. That is the kind of partnership worth paying attention to. The first career win came at Haydock Park back in June 2024, and with three wins now on the board at the age of five, Sedgemoor is not going to trouble the big prizes. But as a horse that knows exactly where it likes to run — and has the results to prove it — there is always a reason to watch when Newcastle appears on the schedule.