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Secret Guest

Secret Guest is a 6-year-old who has spent three years quietly building a career on the northern circuit, picking up 5 wins and placing in 20 more from 45 races — a win rate of 11%, or roughly 1 in every 9 outings. That might not sound spectacular, but it tells the story of a horse who shows up consistently and competes honestly week after week.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Lady Macduff
Owner
P Chettle And B Smart
Rating
77

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
45
Career races
5
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most striking number in Secret Guest's record is what happens when the ground is normal — not too wet, not too firm, just a standard racing surface. In those conditions, this horse wins 4 from 16 races, a rate of 25%, or roughly 1 in every 4. That is a genuinely impressive figure, and it suggests Secret Guest isn't just occasionally lucky — there's a real preference at work here. Get the conditions right, and this horse becomes a proper contender.

There is, however, a puzzle worth noting. Secret Guest has raced 15 times at Class 3 level — one step below the top tier of British racing — and has not won once. Yet drop into easier company and the wins come. That gap between where the horse competes most often and where it actually wins is something Bryan Smart's yard at Sutton Bank will be well aware of. Smart has had 18 winners this season already, so he clearly knows how to place a horse, and finding the right spot for Secret Guest has clearly been part of the challenge.

The most recent win came at Thirsk on 3rd May 2025, which is now over a year ago. Since then, Secret Guest has run 6 times without troubling the judge, finishing no better than fifth across those outings. The current run of form — 12th, 5th, 6th, 8th, 5th, 12th — doesn't suggest a horse on the verge of a breakthrough. Paul Mulrennan, who rides Secret Guest more than anyone else, has managed 1 win from 12 attempts together, winning roughly 1 in every 12 times they've partnered. That's a modest return, though the pair have clearly become familiar with each other over time.

Secret Guest raced just yesterday, which means this is a horse right in the middle of an active campaign. Whether a return to the kind of normal ground that brings out the best in this horse can spark a return to winning ways remains to be seen.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 4 wins from 16 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Jun
12th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
17 May
5th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
8 May
6th
Chester
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
8 Apr
8th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
19 Mar
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
20 Feb
12th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
13 Jan
2nd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 6 runners
1 Jan
6th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
27 Nov
8th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
17 Nov
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Paul Mulrennan Current Jockey
8.3%
Win rate
1/12
Won / Rode
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
Graham Lee
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Zak Wheatley
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
12 1 win, 3 seconds, 1 third, 7 other 19 Mar 8.3%
Thirsk
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 6 Sep 16.7%
Southwell
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 20 Feb 0%
Ripon
Sharp
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 16 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
4 4 other 13 Jun 0%
Redcar
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 10 Aug 33.3%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 20 May 50%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 thirds 31 Aug 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 2 Jul 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 8 May 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 7 Jun 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 17 May 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Aug 0%