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Scarlet Moon

Scarlet Moon has not found the winner's enclosure in nearly a year, but there is something quietly telling in how this four-year-old conducts itself in defeat. Over 22 races, the horse has won 5 times and finished in the money in 12 others—a win rate of roughly one win in every four or five attempts—which suggests a reliable, honest racer rather than a struggling one. The real story, though, lies in what changed.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Sea The Moon
Mother
Star Rock
Owner
Arbib Bloodstock Partnership
Rating
80

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
5
Wins
22.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
54.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

For much of its career, Scarlet Moon thrived at Class 4 level, winning 3 of 12 races there (a 25% win rate), a decent return that speaks to a horse comfortable mixing it with mid-tier company. That last victory, at Warwick on 4 November 2025, felt like the kind of win that might have promised more to come. Instead, the horse has now gone 10 months without adding to its tally. In its last six races, Scarlet Moon has run up places—mostly two or three finishes—but that crucial final furlong has eluded it. It raced just a day ago, which shows it is still in work and being campaigned, but the form book offers no easy answers about what has gone wrong.

Trainer Archie Watson, based at Upper Lambourn in Berkshire, has been sending out winners at a steady clip this season with 62 victories already to his name. His yard clearly knows how to find races for its horses. Ben Poste, Scarlet Moon's most frequent partner, has ridden it 8 times for just the one victory, a modest return that hints neither horse nor rider has quite found their rhythm together. For now, Scarlet Moon remains a horse with form to build on, waiting for that breakthrough moment that could remind everyone—and perhaps itself—what it is capable of.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
29 Aug
9th
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 12 runners
4 Aug
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
1 May
10th
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners
30 Mar
3rd
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
9 Mar
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
9 Mar
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
31 Jan
3rd
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
1 Jan
2nd
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
6 Dec
4th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 7 runners
4 Nov
🏆 Won
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
60%
Win rate
3/5
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Laura Coughlan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Sandown Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 30 Jul 50%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 third 31 Jan 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
2 2 seconds 9 Mar 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 29 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 win 12 May 100%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 win 4 Nov 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 6 Apr 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 7 May 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Jun 0%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 third 30 Mar 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Dec 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 third 19 Oct 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 12 Sep 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 4 Aug 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Oct 0%