Rye

Recent form tells an interesting story. In its last six races, Rye has been knocking on the door: a win, then sixth, then second, fourth, second again, and third. That second-place finish two runs back, combined with this week's victory, suggests the horse is finding something right now. There's momentum there, however modest. Jack Doughty, who partners Rye most often, hasn't won a race aboard yet from seven attempts together—the pair have worked without success so far, though Doughty will be hoping this week's breakthrough is the start of something better. Tony Carroll's Worcestershire yard is in fine form this season with 136 winners, so the horse is in an outfit that knows how to get the best from its charges. Whether Rye can turn this week's win into a genuine hot streak, or whether it returns to its familiar role as a nearly-horse, depends entirely on what comes next.