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Royal Belief

Royal Belief has spent most of his four-year-old career chasing the winning post without quite getting there, but his recent form suggests he might finally be starting to work it out. The horse has won just once in eleven races — a breakthrough success at Limerick seven months ago — but that single victory came at long distance, over two miles or more, and that is the real story here.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Kerry Gal
Owner
Del Boy Partnership
Official rating
55

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
11
Career races
1
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
18.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The last six runs tell an encouraging pattern. After a disappointing run six races back, Royal Belief has returned to form with a second, a fifth, a ninth, a tenth, a second again, and just yesterday a sixth. The ups and downs are typical of a horse still finding his feet, but the fact that he keeps turning up and placing regularly — he has finished second twice in his last six outings — shows there is genuine ability in there. Trainer Cian Collins, working from his Navan yard in Co Meath, has had a productive season overall with 20 winners sent out, so Royal Belief has decent support behind him.

What makes Royal Belief worth watching is that narrow band of conditions where he actually delivers. Drop him in over distance, and he becomes a different proposition. A horse that wins roughly one in four times at that trip is not just limping along — he is competitive. At the shorter distances he runs over sometimes, he struggles, which is why getting him back to what clearly suits him is the key. At four years old and still relatively lightly raced, Royal Belief has time to improve, and if his trainer can keep him pointed at the races that play to his strengths, there are more wins to come.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
6th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 19 runners
22 Apr
2nd
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 16 runners
31 Mar
🏆 Won
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
4 Feb
10th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
12 Jan
9th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 16 runners
26 Dec
5th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 11 runners
13 Oct
12th
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 19 runners
22 Sep
5th
Listowel
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 14 runners
27 Jun
12th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
6 Jun
12th
Fairyhouse
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Colin Keane Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Limerick
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 31 Mar 50%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 2 other 12 Oct 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Feb 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 second 22 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Jun 0%