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Rogue Diplomat

There are horses that take time to find their feet, and then there are horses like Rogue Diplomat — ones that seem to arrive already knowing exactly what they are doing. The four-year-old has won 5 of its 11 career races, a remarkable 45% win rate that translates to nearly one in every two races ending in victory. For context, most horses at this level are doing well to win one in five. That kind of efficiency doesn't happen by accident.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Calyx
Mother
Only Young Once
Trainer
Owner
The Rogues Gallery
Rating
95

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
5
Wins
45.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
72.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The really striking thing is how quickly this horse has accelerated. Four wins from its last six races, with a sequence that reads 1-1-1-1 through the heart of that run, suggests a horse that has genuinely clicked into form and stayed there. It first won at Leicester back in April 2025, but the big moments have come at Doncaster, where Rogue Diplomat has won twice — both of them Class 2 races, which puts them among the better races in Britain. Winning one top-level race at a track is noteworthy; winning two suggests the place genuinely suits this horse in a way that goes beyond coincidence.

Over seven furlongs to a mile, the record is even more compelling: 5 wins from just 7 races, a 71% success rate. That is the sweet spot, the distance where everything clicks, and it is the kind of specificity that a shrewd team will keep coming back to. James Owen's yard in Newmarket has been in exceptional form this season — 205 winners sent out is a serious number, the output of an operation that is firing on all cylinders — and Rogue Diplomat looks like one of their sharper tools.

Then there is jockey Harry Davies, who has ridden the horse to all five of its wins from just six rides together. That is a partnership winning at 83%, which is almost unheard of. Some jockey-and-horse combinations just work, and this one clearly does — Davies appears to understand exactly how to get the best from this horse, and the results speak for themselves. Rogue Diplomat raced just three days ago and is currently active, so there is every chance the next chapter is already being written.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 71% win rate
Strong overall win rate: wins 45% of races
Effective partnership with Harry Davies: 83% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft
Good to firm
Standard (all-weather)
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Class 3
Class 4
Class 5
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Wide and galloping
Right-handed, undulating
Right-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, tight

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Mar
2nd
Doncaster
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
24 Oct
🏆 Won
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
14 Sep
🏆 Won
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 19 runners
17 Aug
🏆 Won
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
2 Aug
🏆 Won
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
11 Jul
5th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
17 May
10th
Newbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
3 May
6th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Leicester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
17 Oct
3rd
chelmsford
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 5 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Harry Davies Current Jockey
83.3%
Win rate
5/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 second 28 Mar 66.7%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 2 Aug 50%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 win 4 Apr 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 17 Aug 100%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 third 24 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 third 17 Oct 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 17 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 11 Jul 0%