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Rodney Bay

Rodney Bay is the kind of horse that keeps turning up, which you have to respect, even if the results haven't exactly been dazzling. At nine years old, he has raced 37 times and won just twice — that's a win rate of roughly 1 in every 18 races, or just 5% overall. He's also picked up 10 places along the way, so he's not completely out of the picture when he lines up, but wins have been genuinely hard to come by.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Most Improved
Mother
Kathy Livius
Owner
Miss O Kent
Rating
100

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
37
Career races
2
Wins
5.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
About 3 miles · Ideal conditions · 4 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most recent of those wins came at The Curragh in Ireland back in October 2023 — and that was 29 months ago now. His last six races have all produced finishing positions of 8th or worse, which paints a pretty clear picture of where things currently stand. He raced just three days ago, so he's an active runner, but the form isn't pointing anywhere particularly hopeful right now.

Where Rodney Bay does look most at home is over a distance of a mile and six furlongs to two miles — that middle-distance range suits him best, and he's won 1 of his 9 races at those trips, a win rate of about 11%. That's actually more than double his overall average, which tells you something useful: if there's a version of this horse that can be competitive, it tends to show up when the distance is right. His first career win came at Downpatrick back in October 2022, and both victories have come in Ireland.

He's trained by Nick Scholfield at Lambourn in Berkshire, a yard that has sent out 19 winners this season — so there's clearly ability there to get horses winning. His most frequent jockey is P J O'Hanlon, who has been aboard six times without a win together. That's a combination still searching for its moment.

Rodney Bay is not a horse you'd back with any great confidence right now — a 29-month winning drought and a run of eight-placed finishes speak for themselves. But he keeps racing, keeps showing up, and at trips that suit him, he's shown he can occasionally find a way to the winner's enclosure. Whether that happens again at nine is the question.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 11% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Navan in 9 attempts
Yet to win at Fairyhouse in 6 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 13 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Yielding
Loves
Soft to heavy
Good to yielding
Yielding to soft
Good to firm
Good to soft
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Right-handed, undulating
Loves
Right-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, tight turning
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Mar
8th
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
19 Feb
DNF
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 18 runners
4 Oct
8th
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 17 runners
19 Sep
9th
Downpatrick
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 17 runners
28 Jan
8th
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 11 runners
15 Dec
8th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 18 runners
12 Nov
7th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
12 Oct
10th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
2 Oct
12th
Bellewstown
1m6f – 2m · Yielding_To_Soft · 14 runners
14 Feb
6th
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 17 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Joe Doyle
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Adam Short
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Danny Hand
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D McGill
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ben Mulligan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rory Mulligan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
9 1 third, 8 other 15 Dec 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
6 1 third, 5 other 12 Nov 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 19 Sep 33.3%
Dundalk
Galloping
3 3 other 14 Feb 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 3 other 4 Oct 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
2 2 thirds 2 Sep 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Sep 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
2 2 other 2 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 win 31 Oct 100%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 second 22 Aug 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 19 Feb 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 third 12 Sep 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Mar 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jan 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 second 31 Oct 0%