Roaring Home

The most striking detail is the recent form. In its last six races, Roaring Home has finished 5th, 4th, 1st, 1st, 2nd, 2nd — read that right to left and you have a horse that has gone from also-ran to genuine contender in a matter of months. Those back-to-back wins include a victory at Aintree just two months ago, one of British racing's most iconic tracks. Winning there means beating good horses on a big stage, and Roaring Home delivered. With a race just yesterday, this is a horse in the middle of a genuine purple patch.

Ground conditions matter here. All three of Roaring Home's wins have come on normal ground, and it has won 3 of its 11 races in those conditions — around 1 in every 4. That 27% win rate on a normal surface is well above its overall average, so when the ground rides well, this horse is one to watch.

Sam Twiston-Davies has been in the saddle for 7 of those 19 races and has won twice aboard — that is nearly 1 in every 3 rides together, a noticeably high return that suggests a real partnership has developed. He rode at Aintree, and that result speaks for itself. The trainer, Henry Daly, operates out of Ludlow in Shropshire and has sent out 17 winners already this season, meaning Roaring Home is coming from a yard in strong form rather than a quiet backwater. When a well-run stable puts a horse on the track with a jockey who clearly gets the best from it, the combination is worth respecting. Roaring Home may have taken a while to find its feet, but right now it looks like a horse building towards something.