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Rizal

Rizal is a 4-year-old with form that tells two different stories depending on where you look. In his last six races, he has won three times and finished in the places twice more — a win rate of five top-three finishes from six outings that makes him look genuinely useful. Yet his overall record stands at three wins from twelve starts, a 25% win rate that sits comfortably above average but hardly stamps him as a star. The truth lies somewhere in between: a horse finding his feet and hitting form at exactly the right moment, with a win at Redcar just this week suggesting he has momentum on his side.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Lope De Vega
Mother
Ridenza
Owner
Victorious Forever
Official rating
82

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
12
Career races
3
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
26 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

George Scott's Newmarket yard has had a strong season with 52 winners, and Rizal fits the profile of a horse being quietly developed. The pattern in his performances reveals a clear preference for fast, dry ground — he has won twice from just three races on such surfaces, a 67% win rate that stands out. He also runs best over 1m3f to 1m4f distances, winning two of five races at that trip. Curiously, he has found little luck with his most frequent partner, jockey Ben Coen, who has ridden him in six races without a winner. His three victories have come with different riders, which might simply be circumstance, or it might suggest Rizal needs a certain style in the saddle.

With his last race just a day ago and a win in the recent past, Rizal appears to be in the right place — the right ground, the right distance, and the right rhythm. For a 4-year-old still learning his trade, a horse that wins one race in every four and has just rattled off three victories in six starts is one worth keeping an eye on.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 40% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Sep
🏆 Won
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 12 runners
21 Aug
4th 1
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 4 runners
17 Jul
🏆 Won 1
Hamilton Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 3 runners
26 Jun
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
4 Mar
3rd
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow
4 Oct
6th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 22 runners
9 Sep
2nd
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 15 runners
26 Aug
4th
Bellewstown
7f – 1m · Good_To_Yielding · 8 runners
1 Aug
3rd
Galway
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 21 runners
6 Jun
8th
Fairyhouse
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/6
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Galway
Tight
2 1 second, 1 third 9 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Jun 100%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 17 Jul 100%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 23 Sep 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 third 4 Mar 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Aug 0%