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Rich Belief

Rich Belief is a nine-year-old who has quietly built a career across 37 races, picking up 6 wins and finishing in the places on 12 other occasions — a win rate of around 1 in every 6 races, or 16%. That is not a flashy record, but it tells the story of a horse that keeps showing up and keeps contributing.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Realt Eile
Owner
I J Keeling
Rating
117

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
37
Career races
6
Wins
16.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
32.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline moment of Rich Belief's career came in May 2022, when the horse won a Class 2 race at Kelso — one of the better races in Britain. That is the kind of occasion that separates a decent horse from a solid one, and it suggests Rich Belief has genuine ability when things fall right. The first career win had come just weeks earlier at Limerick in April 2022, so that spring was something of a breakthrough period.

What makes the profile more interesting right now is that Rich Belief has just won this week, at Wexford on 27 May 2026. That is a notable moment for a nine-year-old — horses at that age do not always have wins left in them, and landing one at this stage of a career is a reminder not to write off the experienced ones too quickly. Look back through the last six runs and you can see a horse that had been patchy — a second place, a few mid-field finishes — which makes the win feel more earned rather than routine.

The horse is trained by Karl Thornton out of Skerries in Co Dublin, a yard that has sent out 4 winners this season, so Rich Belief's win this week represents a meaningful contribution to a small operation's season. Jockey Robbie Colgan has been the regular partner, riding the horse in 10 races together for 1 win — that is 1 in every 10 races together, which is modest, though the combination clearly has enough of an understanding to keep the partnership going.

At the level Rich Belief tends to compete at, a win rate of 1 in 3 in Class 4 races — won 1 of just 3 at that level — hints that stepping down in class suits. Whether there is another win to come this season is impossible to say, but a horse that just won at nine years old deserves more credit than its overall numbers might first suggest.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 May
🏆 Won
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
25 Apr
19th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
8 Apr
6th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
22 Sep
8th
Listowel
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 18 runners
11 Sep
2nd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
7 Aug
7th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
30 Jul
17th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 23 runners
18 Jul
8th
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 12 runners
7 Jun
13th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good · 23 runners
13 Oct
18th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 21 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
10%
Win rate
1/10
Won / Rode
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shane Crosse
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
B J Cooper
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D McGill
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
6 1 win, 5 other 25 Apr 16.7%
Chester
Tight
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 31 Aug 25%
Killarney
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 24 Aug 0%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 23 Jun 33.3%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 1 second, 2 other 8 Apr 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 18 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 30 Jul 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
2 2 other 8 Jul 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 win 29 May 100%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 win 27 May 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Oct 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 second 11 Sep 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jun 0%