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Rich Belief

Rich Belief is a nine-year-old campaigner with solid credentials at the right level, though the horse has hit a frustrating patch. Trained by Karl Thornton at Skerries, Rich Belief has won 6 races from 43 starts over a career that spans several years—a win rate of about 1 in 7 races, which is respectable for a horse that competes regularly. At Class 4 level, where Rich Belief typically races, the horse has shown real quality: 1 win from 3 starts translates to winning a third of its races at that grade, suggesting the horse is genuinely suited to this tier of competition.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Realt Eile
Owner
I J Keeling
Official rating
113

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
43
Career races
6
Wins
14.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
17 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The most striking feature of Rich Belief's recent record is a troubling dry spell. The horse hasn't won in the last six races, finishing third, sixth, second and third across those last half-dozen outings. Most recently, Rich Belief raced just over a day ago, continuing the current run without a breakthrough. This stands in sharp contrast to the early promise: the horse's first win came at Limerick on 7 April 2022, followed quickly by a Class 2 success at Kelso on 29 May that same year—a top-level achievement that proved Rich Belief belonged at the highest standard of racing. The most recent win came nearly four months ago at Wexford on 27 May 2026, suggesting the horse is struggling to find the form that made it a winner at that level.

Robbie Colgan has been Rich Belief's most frequent partner, riding the horse 10 times for 1 win—a modest 10% win rate that mirrors the overall struggles. Despite being active and regularly competing, Rich Belief appears to be at a crossroads: the horse has the talent and experience to win races at its preferred level, but recent form suggests something may need adjusting, whether in how or where the horse competes next.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Oct
5th
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
16 Sep
3rd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 8 runners
26 Aug
2nd
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
6 Aug
3rd
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
12 Jul
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 13 runners
9 Jun
3rd
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
27 May
🏆 Won
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
25 Apr
19th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
8 Apr
6th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
22 Sep
8th
Listowel
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 18 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
10%
Win rate
1/10
Wins / rides
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
W J Lee
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
Ben Harvey Current jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Mr D McGill
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
B J Cooper
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Shane Crosse
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Navan
Galloping
6 1 win, 5 other 25 Apr 16.7%
Chester
Tight
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 31 Aug 25%
Killarney
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 24 Aug 0%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 23 Jun 33.3%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 18 Jul 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 1 Oct 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 1 second, 2 other 8 Apr 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 26 Aug 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 30 Jul 0%
Sligo
Sharp
2 2 thirds 6 Aug 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 win 29 May 100%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 win 27 May 100%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jun 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Jul 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Oct 0%