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Rich Belief

Rich Belief is a nine-year-old who has found his level as a consistent if modest performer on the Irish circuit, notching up six wins from 41 races over a career that spans four years. That 15 per cent win rate — roughly 1 win in every 6 or 7 races — tells you this is a horse who gets his head in front regularly enough to be worth running, but not often enough to excite the big stables. He has picked up fifteen places alongside those wins, which suggests he is competitive more often than not, even when he doesn't win.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Realt Eile
Owner
I J Keeling
Rating
113

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
41
Career races
6
Wins
14.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Navan
About 2 miles · Slightly soft ground · 17 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What stands out is his affinity for Class 4 races — the kind of contest that sits comfortably within his abilities. When running at that level, he wins roughly one in every three races (1 from 3), a win rate that doubles his overall average. His sole top-level success came at Kelso in May 2022, a Class 2 win that remains the high point of his career and suggests he is capable of rising above his usual company on his day. His first win arrived at Limerick in April 2022, and he has been ticking along at the lower grades ever since, last winning at Wexford three months ago.

Robbie Colgan is his most regular pilot, though the partnership has proved unrewarding: just one win from ten rides together, a 10 per cent return. That he continues to run suggests Karl Thornton's Skerries yard — which has sent out four winners this season — sees something worth persisting with. His recent form reads 2-3-6-3-1-19, a mixed bag that shows occasional sharpness (the recent second and third place finishes) alongside the kind of heavy defeats that come with a horse past his prime at nine years old. He raced just a day ago, so he is clearly still active and still competing, even if the wins are coming thinner than they once did.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 Aug
2nd
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
6 Aug
3rd
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
12 Jul
6th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 13 runners
9 Jun
3rd
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
27 May
🏆 Won
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
25 Apr
19th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
8 Apr
6th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
22 Sep
8th
Listowel
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 18 runners
11 Sep
2nd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
7 Aug
7th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
10%
Win rate
1/10
Won / Rode
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
W J Lee
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Ben Harvey Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D McGill
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
B J Cooper
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shane Crosse
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
6 1 win, 5 other 25 Apr 16.7%
Chester
Tight
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 31 Aug 25%
Killarney
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 24 Aug 0%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 23 Jun 33.3%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 1 second, 2 other 8 Apr 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 26 Aug 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 18 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 30 Jul 0%
Sligo
Sharp
2 2 thirds 6 Aug 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 win 29 May 100%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 win 27 May 100%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Jul 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jun 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Oct 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 second 11 Sep 0%