Ribee

The clearest pattern is ground. Ribee is a different proposition when the track is wet and muddy. In those conditions it has won 2 of its last 3 races — a 67 percent win rate that stands in sharp contrast to its overall record. Rain turns this horse into a competitor. It also performs best over distances between seven furlongs and a mile, winning 2 of 5 races at that trip, which hints at a horse with genuine scope rather than a short-distance sprinter.

Michael Mulvany's yard at Kells has sent out 19 winners this season, and Ribee represents the kind of honest, consistent performer such stables rely on. Its jockey Wesley Joyce has ridden it 9 times for just 1 win — a partnership that has not quite clicked — but that opens the door for other riders to find success aboard. The horse's last victory came at The Curragh on 15 March, six months ago, and while recent form has been patchy — a 12th place finish just yesterday shows it is still racing regularly — those wet-ground wins suggest Ribee is far from finished. On the right surface, with everything in place, this is a horse capable of winning.