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Rathgar

There is a version of Rathgar that is very hard to beat — and it tends to show up at Goodwood. The six-year-old has won 2 of its 5 races at that track, a remarkable return that stands out sharply against a career record of just 3 wins from 24 races overall. For context, that is a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races across its whole career, so doubling that at a single venue is not a coincidence. Something about Goodwood suits this horse in a way that most tracks simply do not.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Mother
Why We Dream
Owner
Crest Racing Xviii
Rating
85

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
3
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
54.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The yard behind Rathgar is Jack Channon's operation at West Ilsley in Berkshire, which has been in fine form this season — 46 winners and counting. Regular jockey David Probert has ridden Rathgar 11 times and won on 2 of those occasions, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 5 or 6 rides together. That is a decent partnership at this level, because Rathgar typically competes in Class 2 races — the second tier of British racing — and winning just 1 from 11 at that standard tells you this is a competitive horse operating against good opposition every time it turns up. Prize money at this level is serious, and simply placing regularly is no small thing.

The distance sweet spot appears to be somewhere between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs, where Rathgar has won 1 from 3 races — a 33% hit rate that is comfortably its best at any trip. The highlight of the career so far was a Class 2 win at Great Yarmouth in July 2024, which showed this horse can deliver on the big occasions. That win was now 20 months ago, and recent form — finishing fourth, tenth, tenth, third, second, and fifth across the last six races — suggests the wins have dried up. The second place in there hints at ability still present, but the back-to-back tenth-place finishes are harder to explain away.

Rathgar raced just three days ago, so there is no question of the horse being put away for the season. The team clearly believes there is more to come, and with Goodwood on the horizon whenever the fixture list allows, that belief may not be misplaced.

Strengths & Risks AI Analysis

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm
Loves
Good to soft
Standard to slow
Standard (all-weather)
Heavy (very wet)
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2
Ok
Class 3
Avoids
Class 4
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, undulating
Loves
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Ok
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Left-handed, undulating
Wide and galloping
Left-handed, tight

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Mar
4th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
24 Jul
10th
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 13 runners
6 Jun
10th
Epsom Downs
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
9 May
3rd
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
22 Apr
2nd
Epsom Downs
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
30 Mar
5th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 18 runners
14 Sep
8th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
24 Aug
7th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
8 Aug
2nd
Chepstow
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
25 Jul
🏆 Won
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
18.2%
Win rate
2/11
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Goodwood
Undulating
5 2 wins, 1 third, 2 other 3 May 40%
York
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 24 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 3 other 30 Mar 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 24 Jul 50%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 second 7 May 0%
chelmsford 1 1 third 11 Apr 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 third 16 May 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 second 8 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 9 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Mar 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 second 16 Jun 0%