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Punchbowl Flyer

There's a horse out there who has spent most of his career waiting for the weather to turn, and when it finally does, he becomes a completely different animal. Punchbowl Flyer is a 9-year-old who has raced 44 times and won just 3 of them — that's a win rate of roughly 1 in every 15 races — but those numbers tell only half the story. On wet or muddy ground, he wins 3 from 11 races, which works out at 27%, or better than 1 in 4. That is a dramatic difference, and it tells you exactly what kind of horse he is: one you mostly ignore, until the skies open.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dream Ahead
Mother
All On Red
Trainer
J G M O'Shea
Owner
Mr Bill Hawkins
Rating
64

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
44
Career races
3
Wins
6.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
25%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trainer J G M O'Shea, based in Newham-on-Severn in Gloucestershire, is refreshingly candid about it. He has said publicly that Punchbowl Flyer simply cannot handle fast or even normal ground, and that the muddier the better — he wants to see mud flying. That kind of specificity from a trainer is useful. It means you are not dealing with a horse that is inconsistent or hard to read; you are dealing with one that has a very clear set of conditions under which he thrives, and the rest of the time he is essentially marking time.

What makes the current moment interesting is that Punchbowl Flyer appears to have found those conditions. He won at Ffos Las just this week, his most recent race, and that follows a win earlier in the season at Chepstow back in August 2025. Two wins from his last 6 races is a sharp upturn for a horse whose overall record is so modest, and it suggests he is in the form of his life right now — or at least, that the ground has been playing to his strengths.

His regular partner, jockey Charles Bishop, has ridden him 11 times without a win together, which is a curious footnote given the horse's recent success. O'Shea's yard has sent out 6 winners this season, so there is form in the camp. Where Punchbowl Flyer has consistently come unstuck is at the top level — he has run 8 times in Class 2 races, the elite end of British racing, without winning once. He is not a horse for the big occasions. He is a horse for a wet Tuesday at a Welsh track, when the ground is soft and most trainers would rather keep their horses at home. On those days, he is worth watching.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 11 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 7 attempts
Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Jun
🏆 Won
Ffos Las
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
15 Jun
🏆 Won
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
6 Jun
2nd
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
1 Jun
DNF
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
21 May
7th
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
25 Apr
8th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
4 Apr
3rd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
17 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
13 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
3 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/11
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/10
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Taryn Langley
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Millie Wonnacott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chepstow
Galloping
8 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 15 Jun 25%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
7 1 second, 1 third, 5 other 1 Jun 0%
Windsor
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 14 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
4 4 other 15 Oct 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 23 Jun 33.3%
Bath
Undulating
2 2 other 21 Oct 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 11 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Jul 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jul 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Oct 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 17 May 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%