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Punchbowl Flyer

Punchbowl Flyer is a nine-year-old who has carved out a modest but genuine niche in racing: he wins roughly 1 in every 16 races, which sounds thin until you understand what keeps him coming back. At this stage of his career, with 48 races under his belt, most horses would have long since hung up their tack. Instead, he is still actively racing—he ran just yesterday—and has found a pocket of the handicap game where he can compete. His record of 3 wins and 11 places tells the story of a tough, honest campaigner who knows how to turn up for a day's work even when victory is not forthcoming.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dream Ahead
Mother
All On Red
Owner
The Cross Racing Club
Official rating
64

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
48
Career races
3
Wins
6.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
22.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
20 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The key to Punchbowl Flyer is ground conditions. On normal, standard going he wins roughly 1 in every 4 races—that 25% win rate from 12 attempts is genuinely strong—but move him onto quicker, faster surfaces and he simply cannot perform. His trainer, John O'Shea, who runs his yard at Newham-on-Severn in Gloucestershire, has long understood this quirk. The softer and wetter the ground, the better Punchbowl Flyer's chance. When the mud is flying and the track is heavy, this is a horse transformed. Patience for the right conditions has always been the strategy, and there is merit in that approach for a horse of his caliber.

Recent form shows he is still capable of competing at a respectable level. He has won 2 of his last 6 races, including a success at Ffos Las on 23 June—just three months ago—which proves he has not lost his touch. His most recent outing came just yesterday, when he ran fifth, a perfectly respectable effort. The fact that he continues to find the occasional win at nine years old, after 48 races, speaks to his durability. He may never be a star, but he is exactly what many racing yards need: a reliable, straightforward sort who earns his keep and gives his team something to build a day around when the going is soft and his name is pencilled in at a suitable track.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 12 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 12 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 8 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Windsor in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Sep
5th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 6 runners
7 Sep
4th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
15 Aug
7th
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
30 Jul
6th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
23 Jun
🏆 Won
Ffos Las
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
15 Jun
🏆 Won
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
6 Jun
2nd
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
1 Jun
DNF
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
21 May
7th
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
25 Apr
8th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
0%
Win rate
0/11
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/10
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
Taryn Langley
0%
Win rate
0/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Millie Wonnacott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Chepstow
Galloping
8 2 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 15 Jun 25%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
8 1 second, 1 third, 6 other 30 Jul 0%
Windsor
Sharp
5 1 second, 4 other 7 Sep 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
4 4 other 15 Oct 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 23 Jun 33.3%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 11 May 0%
Bath
Undulating
2 2 other 21 Oct 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 2 other 28 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Oct 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%