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Polar Bear

There's a horse that knows how to make you wait. Polar Bear has run 33 times across a six-year career, winning just twice — that's a win rate of roughly 1 in every 16 races, or about 6% — and yet the story of those two wins tells you more about this horse than the long gaps between them. The first came at Naas in October 2022, at the end of a summer during which trainer Jessica Harrington noted publicly that Polar Bear had been "knocking on the door" for months, hampered along the way by sore shins and other niggles that had kept it from fulfilling its potential. When it finally broke through, jockey Shane Foley reported the horse had jumped out of the gates and simply taken over, tanking along under its own steam. That kind of performance — powerful, willing, almost impatient — is the opposite of a lucky winner.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Blue Marmalade
Trainer
Mrs J Harrington
Owner
Mrs John Harrington
Official rating
55

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
33
Career races
2
Wins
6.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
119 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The second win came at Bellewstown in April 2023, and Harrington described it as genuinely tough, the kind of gutsy effort that sticks in a trainer's memory. That was now 39 months ago, and Polar Bear has not won since across 6 further races. But it has placed ten times in total from those 33 outings, which tells you this is a horse that competes — it just hasn't been able to get its head in front again.

Foley has been the regular partner, riding Polar Bear in 20 of its 33 races and picking up both wins. That's a win rate of 10% together — roughly 1 win in every 10 rides — which is significantly better than the horse's overall record and suggests the partnership works. Harrington's yard, based at Moone in Co Kildare, has been in sharp form this season with 58 winners sent out, so the infrastructure around Polar Bear is strong. The horse raced just one day ago and is clearly still in active training, which means there's at least one more chapter to be written. At six years old, Polar Bear isn't young — but it isn't done either.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 10 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Navan in 6 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at The Curragh in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 11 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 Jun
17th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 24 runners
5 Jun
DNF
Fairyhouse
5f – 6½f · Good · 21 runners
3 May
5th
Sligo
5f – 6½f · Yielding_To_Soft · 14 runners
25 Apr
3rd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
30 Mar
4th
Navan
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 15 runners
21 Oct
10th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 17 runners
6 Sep
12th
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
2 Oct
4th
Bellewstown
7f – 1m · Yielding_To_Soft · 8 runners
16 Sep
9th
Laytown
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
27 Aug
4th
Bellewstown
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Yielding · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
10%
Win rate
2/20
Wins / rides
Keithen Kennedy
0%
Win rate
0/5
Wins / rides
Darragh O'Sullivan(7) Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Naas
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 24 Jun 14.3%
Navan
Galloping
6 1 second, 2 thirds, 3 other 25 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
6 6 other 21 Oct 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
5 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other 2 Oct 20%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 2 other 5 Jun 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 6 May 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 13 May 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Jun 0%
Laytown
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 other 3 May 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Sep 0%